Market · 3 of 4 outcomes
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by November 30, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 21:22 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David60xaa93…c3db | No | 223 | 89.7¢ | $184 | — |
| JJJAY0x2889…fc69 | No | 160 | 84.0¢ | $132 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Yes |
| 373 |
| 15.6¢ |
| $65 |
| Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,298 bets |
| Eia0x166a…d7ed | No | 50 | 85.0¢ | $41 | Proven+$5.89 per $100 · 1,215 bets |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | No | 50 | 90.0¢ | $41 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 27 | 75.0¢ | $22 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |