Market · 3 of 4 outcomes
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by November 30, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 22:45 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David60xaa93…c3db | No | 223 | 89.7¢ | $184 | — |
| JJJAY0x2889…fc69 | No | 160 | 84.0¢ | $132 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 373 | 15.6¢ | $65 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,382+ bets · updating |
| Eia0x166a…d7ed | No | 50 | 85.0¢ | $41 | Proven+$5.89 per $100 · 1,215 bets |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | No | 50 | 90.0¢ | $41 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 27 | 75.0¢ | $22 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 101 | 10.0¢ | $18 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| Tallguy25270x0cf6…3ed9 | No | 20 | 75.0¢ | $17 | Losing−$4.17 per $100 · 8,350 bets |
| odimgraf0xf0c3…68d9 | No | 10 | 83.0¢ | $8 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 34 | 9.0¢ | $6 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,307 bets |
| zalmoon0x66fe…34c8 | Yes | 20 | 26.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xf470…cbe1 | Yes | 13 | 15.8¢ | $2 | — |
| ChopChopDrop0x0d98…706b | No | 1 | 77.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 0 | 75.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.