Market · 1 of 4 outcomes
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 22:44 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NiceDuckBro0xb26c…0eb0 | Yes | 3,276 | 69.7¢ | $1.97K | — |
| anotherpatrick0xc984…37ca | No | 3,287 | 30.0¢ | $1.31K | — |
| JJJAY0x2889…fc69 | Yes | 426 | 50.7¢ | $256 | — |
| B1zz0xcd64…3081 | No | 338 | 40.3¢ | $135 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 331 | 36.4¢ | $132 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,382+ bets · updating |
| SubashChandraBose0xf01a…f231 | Yes | 166 | 61.4¢ | $99 | — |
| -BOB-0xb084…b64f | Yes | 145 | 55.1¢ | $87 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 110 | 65.0¢ | $66 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,987 bets |
| Donny.T0x8190…b247 | Yes | 99 | 58.7¢ | $59 | Positive+$1.24 per $100 · 764 bets |
| Eia0x166a…d7ed | No | 100 | 36.5¢ | $40 | Proven+$5.89 per $100 · 1,215 bets |
| rontro280x0330…eb8f | No | 80 | 32.0¢ | $32 | — |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | No | 50 | 43.0¢ | $20 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | Yes | 30 | 63.0¢ | $18 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| 0x4629…f3b1 | No | 30 | 53.0¢ | $12 | Losing−$7.33 per $100 · 5,354 bets |
| AnaFav0x41cb…a5df | Yes | 14 | 54.0¢ | $8 | Proven+$7.34 per $100 · 3,469 bets |
| Tallguy25270x0cf6…3ed9 | No | 20 | 54.0¢ | $8 | Losing−$4.17 per $100 · 8,350 bets |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | No | 20 | 54.0¢ | $8 | Losing−$3.37 per $100 · 13,656 bets |
| ProxyOne0x5bb6…9d57 | Yes | 10 | 64.0¢ | $6 | — |
| LovelyPanda0x2ccf…5f6a | No | 13 | 36.0¢ | $5 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 8 | 60.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| smithjonasson0x462f…b9ae | Yes | 8 | 66.0¢ | $5 | — |
| adsfasdf1130x0dba…2db9 | No | 10 | 32.0¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.12 per $100 · 7,608 bets |
| asdfll10x601f…bb82 | No | 10 | 32.0¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 7,353 bets |
| congmqian-gendan0x9e16…7a42 | Yes | 5 | 65.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 5 | 49.0¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,166 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | No | 3 | 32.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| Valouass0x6e36…5374 | Yes | 2 | 69.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.67 per $100 · 1,644 bets |
| rubby13370x9c18…f3a2 | No | 1 | 30.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xca75…0a64 | No | 0 | 54.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 0 | 60.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| cactus-test0x0374…b542 | No | 0 | 53.0¢ | $0 | — |
| chuanchuantu0xd729…53bf | No | 0 | 62.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.