Market · 16 of 43 outcomes
Will Raphael Warnock be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:21 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| oliman20xc684…2228 | No | 255 | 91.0¢ | $248 | Proven+$2.29 per $100 · 8,096 bets |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | No | 59 | 94.7¢ | $57 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | No | 13 | 99.0¢ | $13 | Break-even+$0.37 per $100 · 13,129 bets |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 322 | 0.8¢ | $9 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,046 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 317 | 1.6¢ | $9 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,489 bets |
| RobotBeta0xf379…c1ca | Yes | 286 | 0.7¢ | $8 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.4M in play
Exactly one of this event's 43 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
31 more outcomes in this event.
These 43 outcomes add up to 112.3¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.