Market · 18 of 71 outcomes
Will Raphael Warnock announce a Presidential run before 2028?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:40 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TradeDeficitArchitect0x477f…19aa | Yes | 220 | 40.0¢ | $103 | Proven+$6.37 per $100 · 2,801 bets |
| aliiz0xbea0…e19d | No | 121 | 44.5¢ | $64 | — |
| Kastellvalen0xe5c2…6b76 | No | 97 | 52.2¢ | $51 | — |
| Fluo0x2b34…b202 | No | 20 | 73.0¢ | $11 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 18 | 50.0¢ | $8 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 10 | 63.7¢ | $5 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.4M in play