Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by October 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 04:24 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 76.0¢ | +72.5 pts |
| $10,000 | 96.7¢ | +93.2 pts |
| $100,000 | 97.6¢ | Not enough on offer |
| $500,000 | 97.6¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 1¢.
About $17 can be bought and $3 sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 3.5¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 04:06 UTC.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 105 events · $6.09M in play