Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by October 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 00:14 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 80.3¢ | +76.7 pts |
| $10,000 | 97.3¢ | +93.8 pts |
| $100,000 | 98.1¢ | Not enough on offer |
| $500,000 | 98.1¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 1¢.
About $12 can be bought and $3 sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 3.6¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 00:08 UTC.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 102 events · $6.08M in play