Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by October 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:02 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 75.6¢ | +72.4 pts |
| $10,000 | 96.6¢ | +93.4 pts |
| $100,000 | 97.6¢ | Not enough on offer |
| $500,000 | 97.6¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 1¢.
About $16 can be bought and $8 sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 3.3¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 15:02 UTC.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 101 events · $6.07M in play