Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by October 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 19:34 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 74.9¢ | +71.6 pts |
| $10,000 | 96.5¢ | +93.2 pts |
| $100,000 | 97.5¢ | Not enough on offer |
| $500,000 | 97.5¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 1¢.
About $17 can be bought and $7 sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 3.4¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 19:34 UTC.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 101 events · $6.08M in play