Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 05:58 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 75.8¢ | Not enough on offer |
| $10,000 | 75.8¢ | Not enough on offer |
| $100,000 | 75.8¢ | Not enough on offer |
| $500,000 | 75.8¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 15¢.
About $17 can be bought and $26 sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 18.0¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 05:57 UTC.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 113 events · $6.2M in play