Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 12:24 UTC. Not financial advice.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 101 events · $6.04M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lexington0xdebb…eedb | No | 1,257 | 76.7¢ | $1.07K | Proven+$2.85 per $100 · 8,308 bets |
| dpnd0x5f21…b376 | No | 836 | 85.0¢ | $715 | Positive |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| AlphaGooo0xfc55…b21d | Yes | 640 | 16.5¢ | $93 | — |
| RATHMA40xf9ac…806e | No | 100 | 80.0¢ | $86 | — |
| 0xd0f8…6b50 | Yes | 500 | 32.0¢ | $73 | Proven+$11.40 per $100 · 266 bets |
| folioquant0xeb52…67cc | Yes | 216 | 15.0¢ | $31 | Break-even−$0.55 per $100 · 533 bets |