Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:07 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 84.3¢ | Not enough on offer |
| $10,000 | 84.3¢ | Not enough on offer |
| $100,000 | 84.3¢ | Not enough on offer |
| $500,000 | 84.3¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 11¢.
About $5 can be bought and $15 sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 15.0¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 15:07 UTC.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 101 events · $6.07M in play