Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 05:25 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 74.3¢ | Not enough on offer |
| $10,000 | 74.3¢ | Not enough on offer |
| $100,000 | 74.3¢ | Not enough on offer |
| $500,000 | 74.3¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 15¢.
About $21 can be bought and $16 sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 17.5¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 05:18 UTC.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 105 events · $6.09M in play