Market · 3 of 5 outcomes
Will one person dissent the January Fed decision?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:54 UTC. Not financial advice.
Fed decision · January 2027 · 3 events · $72.6K in play
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xdc3E831cad0x5ecd…0787 | Yes | 978 | 20.4¢ | $137 | Positive+$2.44 per $100 · 5,624 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 80 | 87.9¢ | $69 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,020 bets |
| AiBird0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | 274 | 16.1¢ | $38 | Positive+$3.43 per $100 · 14,399 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 24 | 87.0¢ | $21 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 20 | 79.0¢ | $17 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| 0x539b…c64f | No | 5 | 80.8¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.94 per $100 · 789 bets |
| KiruaTrading0xa7d2…f954 | Yes | 20 | 55.0¢ | $3 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 14 | 23.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| Polimaki0x98a8…a47b | No | 2 | 85.0¢ | $2 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 8 | 14.1¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.59 per $100 · 123,775 bets |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | No | 1 | 82.6¢ | $1 | — |
| maomao2280xfe46…6133 | No | 0 | 80.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 0 | 80.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.