Market · 11 of 14 outcomes
Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 12:42 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| tja0xe1b3…1426 | No | 1,070 | 94.9¢ | $1.04K | Proven+$10.79 per $100 · 1,662 bets |
| dropmeplease0x758b…0a1c | No | 765 | 97.1¢ | $745 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 59 | 95.5¢ | $58 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,997 bets |
| Basilomo0x86ba…3694 | No | 54 | 97.5¢ | $53 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 889 | 2.9¢ | $22 | Losing−$5.95 per $100 · 8,491 bets |
| qcp110x2184…00df | No | 16 | 96.1¢ | $16 | Proven+$24.90 per $100 · 369 bets |
| Ogre-Magi0x99f0…649f | No | 15 | 92.0¢ | $15 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 342 | 4.3¢ | $9 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 169 | 4.4¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| 0x1f09…1f55 | No | 3 | 97.3¢ | $3 | — |
| akunai0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | 108 | 6.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$7.83 per $100 · 9,510 bets |
| ma990x6c37…d40f | Yes | 94 | 6.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$7.96 per $100 · 7,461 bets |
| Oklmntrader0x6f67…102c | Yes | 90 | 6.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | 76 | 2.3¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.46 per $100 · 4,816 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 74 | 2.2¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.53 per $100 · 124,825+ bets · updating |
| trrr120x184b…67b2 | No | 2 | 96.8¢ | $2 | — |
| perepuk0x51f2…38ef | Yes | 45 | 6.3¢ | $1 | — |
| berk20x146c…f5fd | Yes | 33 | 6.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x26e9…e215 | Yes | 27 | 3.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 2475250x7138…8c89 | Yes | 26 | 6.5¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 19,510 bets |
| ivybaby020x9771…db67 | Yes | 5 | 3.2¢ | $0 | — |
| oxb2a309A61ca9eD5DB26e9FDDa3a19fF4aE3a79e00xb2a3…79e0 | No | 0 | 96.6¢ | $0 | — |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 3 | 2.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.44 per $100 · 6,528 bets |
| keybo0xc71b…e265 | Yes | 1 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 50000Harry0xd6fa…4f2d | Yes | 1 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| rpontici0x34af…bd55 | No | 0 | 96.4¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.62 per $100 · 1,164 bets |
| 0x1fb0…3e9e | Yes | 0 | 8.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 53asdad0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | 0 | 3.2¢ | $0 | — |
| LS-ship0xb141…aa3b | Yes | 0 | 4.7¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
#1 AI Model Company · End of December 2026 · 2 events · $39.2K in play