J.D. Vance

Decided by

The first individual formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President in the 2028 cycle who accepts the nomination.§1

Nominee replaced

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the market's resolution.§3

Counted

The first individual formally nominated for Vice President who accepts the nomination.§1

Source

A consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.§2

Closes

Nov 8, 2028 · 04:59 UTC

Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.

How these markets fit together

Exactly one of this event's 35 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to 112.3¢ right now.