Market · 4 of 35 outcomes
Will J.D. Vance be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 10:46 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| oliman20xc684…2228 | No | 332 | 83.3¢ | $314 | Proven+$2.29 per $100 · 8,096 bets |
| Robbb0x9cdd…3e97 | No | 95 | 89.4¢ | $90 | Proven+$5.15 per $100 · 4,527 bets |
| gloriafoster0x5d18…4972 | Yes | 1,000 | 5.0¢ | $55 | Losing−$7.65 per $100 · 426 bets |
| lastminwin0xb5d1…6e35 | No | 54 | 94.0¢ | $51 | New6 settled bets |
| GUINESS1230x2f26…0d8f | No | 18 | 82.6¢ | $17 | Losing−$2.11 per $100 · 28,108 bets |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 285 | 0.0¢ | $16 | New0 settled bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 268 | 0.8¢ | $15 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,736 bets |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | No | 11 | 91.0¢ | $10 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| Frog340xab74…b007 | Yes | 154 | 13.5¢ | $8 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 85 | 6.2¢ | $5 | — |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | Yes | 53 | 5.0¢ | $3 | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 37 | 12.9¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 20 | 6.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 8,489 bets |
| KoalaSenpai0x1db1…aa4b | No | 1 | 90.4¢ | $1 | — |
| Metusalem0xa65c…32fb | Yes | 17 | 6.2¢ | $1 | — |
| Tirante0x4d17…a23c | Yes | 11 | 9.3¢ | $1 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 5 | 7.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 0 | 92.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,641 bets |
| 0x525e…0b73 | Yes | 4 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x84b9…7f7f | No | 0 | 90.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 37sfdsfsdfds0x1e30…49ae | Yes | 3 | 14.5¢ | $0 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | No | 0 | 94.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| Biver520xec82…6eaa | Yes | 1 | 6.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.72 per $100 · 13,010 bets |
| mildwindow270x9f20…12c3 | No | 0 | 95.2¢ | $0 | — |
| OmaJane0x5aec…904b | No | 0 | 89.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | No | 0 | 95.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.84 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 0 | 92.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| 52adsa0x5146…ac5e | Yes | 0 | 8.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 0 | 6.0¢ | $0 | — |
| shukicarpenter0x7cb6…a366 | Yes | 0 | 12.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.7M in play
Exactly one of this event's 35 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.