Market · 29 of 43 outcomes
Will Jared Polis be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:28 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| alpheclabs0xb4d2…ce99 | No | 6 | 96.0¢ | $6 | Losing−$2.67 per $100 · 66,345 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 344 | 0.8¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,637 bets |
| RobotBeta0xf379…c1ca | Yes | 286 | 0.7¢ | $4 | — |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 174 | 0.8¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,046 bets |
| RadioCCOD0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | 169 | 1.2¢ | $2 | Proven+$95.13 per $100 · 197 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 157 | 1.3¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.67 per $100 · 123,278+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.6M in play
Exactly one of this event's 43 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
31 more outcomes in this event.
These 43 outcomes add up to 114.4¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.