Market · 2 of 11 outcomes
Will Gavin Newsom be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 06:28 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SusanWarrenHR0x22db…190f | Yes | 390 | 15.5¢ | $72 | Proven+$4.72 per $100 · 8,310 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 74 | 85.3¢ | $60 |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 60 | 82.3¢ | $49 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 45 | 85.2¢ | $37 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,320 bets |
| aliiz0xbea0…e19d | Yes | 97 | 15.7¢ | $18 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 19 | 81.1¢ | $15 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,686+ bets · updating |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | No | 10 | 85.1¢ | $8 | Losing−$2.96 per $100 · 4,379 bets |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | No | 10 | 85.3¢ | $8 | — |
| dropmeplease0x758b…0a1c | No | 9 | 87.5¢ | $7 | — |
| VolynMolfar0x6c2a…b7b5 | Yes | 29 | 16.5¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.70 per $100 · 1,449 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 23 | 3.1¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 21 | 20.6¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,993 bets |
| hesure0xbe0e…d429 | Yes | 20 | 1.0¢ | $4 | — |
| ktv.politics0xc2d7…deb5 | Yes | 10 | 19.5¢ | $2 | — |
| tweetmaster0xe215…1c22 | Yes | 8 | 20.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x1331…ebd6 | Yes | 7 | 15.5¢ | $1 | — |
| Danilopezvento0x273a…9915 | No | 1 | 81.9¢ | $1 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 4 | 8.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 101,968 bets |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | 3 | 7.9¢ | $1 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| predictdogepepewif0xf524…8178 | No | 1 | 80.6¢ | $1 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 11,425 bets |
| Anon3213210xe347…b438 | Yes | 0 | 6.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 15billionplus0x6406…bc04 | No | 0 | 80.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.90 per $100 · 1,811 bets |
| maomao2280xfe46…6133 | No | 0 | 83.7¢ | $0 | — |
| napamen0x8494…814a | No | 0 | 83.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Polimaki0x98a8…a47b | Yes | 0 | 19.2¢ | $0 | — |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 0 | 8.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.91 per $100 · 158,965+ bets · updating |
1 account bets both sides equally · 0 shares each side · Show
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US 2028 presidential race · 15 events · $62.7M in play
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.