Market · 23 of 43 outcomes
Will Gavin Newsom be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 09:23 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | No | 13 | 96.2¢ | $13 | Break-even+$0.37 per $100 · 13,129 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 327 | 0.8¢ | $7 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,685 bets |
| RobotBeta0xf379…c1ca | Yes | 286 | 0.7¢ | $6 | — |
| 533453450x100f…4950 | No | 4 | 97.1¢ | $3 | — |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 144 | 0.0¢ | $3 | New0 settled bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 122 | 3.3¢ | $3 | Losing−$2.67 per $100 · 123,278+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.7M in play
Exactly one of this event's 43 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
31 more outcomes in this event.
These 43 outcomes add up to 116.3¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.