Market · 5 of 14 outcomes
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 09:14 UTC. Not financial advice.
#1 AI Model Company · End of December 2026 · 2 events · $39.2K in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xeny0x7b75…3fd1 | No | 1,247 | 80.2¢ | $1.18K | Proven+$3.11 per $100 · 2,681 bets |
| tja0xe1b3…1426 | No | 270 | 88.9¢ | $255 | Proven+$10.79 per $100 · 1,662 bets |
| xcaiox0x7478…4003 | No | 231 | 91.4¢ | $218 | Proven+$7.09 per $100 · 278 bets |
| Midas140x6183…3834 | No | 200 | 91.0¢ | $189 | Positive+$1.80 per $100 · 671 bets |
| wasabeej0x8b02…b95f | No | 159 | 93.2¢ | $151 | — |
| parameter10xae91…0f69 | No | 110 | 91.3¢ | $104 | — |
| Ogre-Magi0x99f0…649f | No | 57 | 89.9¢ | $54 | — |
| zurbagan-pesnyatakaya0xfbb4…583f | No | 37 | 94.0¢ | $35 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 446 | 17.0¢ | $25 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| cd30gfu530p00xfd5a…aa7a | No | 22 | 90.3¢ | $21 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 1,176 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 380 | 6.0¢ | $21 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | 361 | 11.1¢ | $20 | Positive+$1.38 per $100 · 4,796 bets |
| rocky420130xf971…0a57 | Yes | 300 | 11.0¢ | $17 | — |
| qcp110x2184…00df | No | 15 | 90.4¢ | $14 | Proven+$24.90 per $100 · 369 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 14 | 92.8¢ | $13 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,994 bets |
| 0x0456…c88a | No | 10 | 93.3¢ | $9 | Proven+$4.70 per $100 · 329 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 168 | 6.6¢ | $9 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 130 | 6.6¢ | $7 | Losing−$5.95 per $100 · 8,491 bets |
| 0xf685…1ddc | No | 6 | 90.3¢ | $6 | — |
| BSS370x1e98…6345 | Yes | 100 | 9.0¢ | $6 | Positive+$4.13 per $100 · 15,893 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 100 | 26.0¢ | $5 | Positive+$4.52 per $100 · 88,243+ bets · updating |
| protonboy0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | 98 | 5.3¢ | $5 | — |
| TogawaSakiko2140x5bf7…6b55 | No | 5 | 74.8¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x1f09…1f55 | No | 3 | 88.9¢ | $3 | — |
| 1BTCis1BTC0xc759…b965 | Yes | 50 | 5.4¢ | $3 | — |
| mrmuller0x975d…01be | Yes | 50 | 5.3¢ | $3 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 44 | 35.9¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,692 bets |
| oxb2a309A61ca9eD5DB26e9FDDa3a19fF4aE3a79e00xb2a3…79e0 | No | 2 | 95.0¢ | $2 | — |
| jensond0xa9b7…f43c | Yes | 30 | 26.0¢ | $2 | — |
| romanew-crypto0xdd3b…9f3a | Yes | 23 | 30.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 53asdad0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | 22 | 7.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Bsau40x8b44…63fb | Yes | 20 | 9.3¢ | $1 | — |
| sybaujustbet0xa2d1…d015 | Yes | 20 | 7.0¢ | $1 | — |
| DooBieZ0xdb40…3612 | Yes | 20 | 6.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.59 per $100 · 8,086 bets |
| 0x4aea…b7dd | No | 1 | 92.6¢ | $1 | — |
| enrico-vasaio0xcc79…1c2a | No | 1 | 83.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 1,143 bets |
| 0x2e1c…db61 | Yes | 15 | 9.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.16 per $100 · 359 bets |
| perepuk0x51f2…38ef | Yes | 8 | 9.0¢ | $0 | — |
| MemeLoverOfficial0x5d55…7cba | Yes | 5 | 20.0¢ | $0 | Proven+$40.29 per $100 · 15,876 bets |
| 0xc6d7…4399 | Yes | 4 | 10.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1a7b…c5f8 | No | 0 | 91.3¢ | $0 | — |
| luccajales0x3b69…01d7 | No | 0 | 90.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Elton1230x8673…4025 | No | 0 | 91.3¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 0 | 9.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| dry-september0xeb77…4e6b | Yes | 0 | 74.1¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.