Market · 14 of 14 outcomes
Will ByteDance have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 01:58 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| thoodr0x3eae…e2ed | No | 1,000 | 93.3¢ | $994 | Positive+$1.21 per $100 · 794 bets |
| 0x7a28z10x1c79…c259 | No | 281 | 87.7¢ | $279 | — |
| Midas140x6183…3834 | No | 60 | 93.3¢ | $60 | Positive+$1.80 per $100 · 671 bets |
| RIC250x09e6…24a1 | No | 28 | 83.6¢ | $28 | — |
| Laura531250xdaaa…9dd8 | No | 20 | 91.3¢ | $20 | — |
| 0x0456…c88a | No | 10 | 93.3¢ | $10 | Proven+$4.70 per $100 · 329 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 418 | 5.4¢ | $3 | Losing−$5.95 per $100 · 8,491 bets |
| 1BTCis1BTC0xc759…b965 | Yes | 200 | 7.1¢ | $1 | — |
| Wordsmith0x3659…0451 | Yes | 186 | 8.1¢ | $1 | — |
| bun-gopinky0x972f…ab22 | No | 1 | 91.3¢ | $1 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 151 | 7.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | 115 | 6.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.46 per $100 · 4,816 bets |
| protonboy0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | 100 | 8.3¢ | $1 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 57 | 4.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.53 per $100 · 125,476+ bets · updating |
| jackli0030x550f…7dad | Yes | 50 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 79fsdfs0x2564…f258 | Yes | 32 | 3.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.57 per $100 · 2,473 bets |
| Ardtysrt010x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | 30 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 6,087 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 21 | 9.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| 53asdad0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | 21 | 8.0¢ | $0 | — |
| tweetmaster0xe215…1c22 | Yes | 15 | 10.4¢ | $0 | — |
| marsian110x9d0a…43f9 | Yes | 5 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| sebelmaestro0x1a96…9797 | No | 0 | 91.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.17 per $100 · 5,892 bets |
| rpontici0x34af…bd55 | No | 0 | 91.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.62 per $100 · 1,164 bets |
| Elton1230x8673…4025 | No | 0 | 85.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Benisopp0x0e88…3f8e | Yes | 0 | 13.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
#1 AI Model Company · End of December 2026 · 2 events · $39.2K in play