Market · 13 of 30 outcomes
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 16:55 UTC. Not financial advice.
18 more outcomes in this event.
Bitcoin price range · Mar 1–31 · 3 events · $14.3M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 10 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x8b4b…541b | No | 103,361 | 87.1¢ | $99.7K | Break-even−$0.72 per $100 · 868 bets |
| notprofitabl0x42d1…dab6 | No | 84,019 | 94.0¢ | $81K | New |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| LuckyChole0x8bbe…b9dc | No | 40,200 | 72.5¢ | $38.8K | Losing−$2.14 per $100 · 269 bets |
| Marioy0x66ad…cc4e | No | 22,536 | 70.8¢ | $21.7K | Break-even−$0.03 per $100 · 460 bets |
| LucasMeow0x7f3c…5613 | No | 20,218 | 96.6¢ | $19.5K | Proven+$2.25 per $100 · 208 bets |
| XRPisSH8T0xd0f1…6712 | No | 19,668 | 61.4¢ | $19K | New57 settled bets |