Market · 28 of 30 outcomes
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:52 UTC. Not financial advice.
18 more outcomes in this event.
Bitcoin price range · Mar 1–31 · 2 events · $14.3M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JanAMEX0x6765…fa0d | No | 111,692 | 95.5¢ | $111K | Positive+$1.61 per $100 · 456 bets |
| geniusMC0x0b9c…7e44 | No | 62,935 | 93.7¢ | $62.7K | Positive |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| iliabouchouev0x95dc…4b45 | No | 21,417 | 98.3¢ | $21.3K | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 16,947 bets |
| chongchongpanda0x121f…15c1 | No | 18,079 | 98.8¢ | $18K | Break-even+$0.09 per $100 · 126 bets |
| ndb10xfea3…d227 | No | 11,834 | 98.2¢ | $11.8K | Positive+$3.49 per $100 · 2,396 bets |
| virus1230xd81c…971b | No | 6,174 | 96.3¢ | $6.15K | — |