Market · 4 of 30 outcomes
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 19:21 UTC. Not financial advice.
18 more outcomes in this event.
Bitcoin price range · Mar 1–31 · 3 events · $14.3M in play
of the biggest Yes money sits with 3 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
9 proven traders are on Yes, 11 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| floatingraft0x56ad…f13e | No | 250,000 | 72.2¢ | $176K | Losing−$12.10 per $100 · 115 bets |
| 0x8b4b…541b | No | 98,761 | 78.7¢ | $69.6K | Break-even |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| intothethickofit0x4c37…0631 | No | 67,673 | 50.1¢ | $47.7K | New61 settled bets |
| ballinco0x00ff…f7ad | No | 42,553 | 83.5¢ | $30K | Break-even−$0.09 per $100 · 365 bets |
| bitterfish0x1cd2…7f85 | No | 32,806 | 92.0¢ | $23.1K | Proven+$9.32 per $100 · 595 bets |
| Tokor0xa19c…de6b | Yes | 72,958 | 28.9¢ | $21.5K | Proven+$13.75 per $100 · 1,658 bets |
3 accounts bet both sides equally · 13.5K shares each side · Show
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