Market · 4 of 30 outcomes
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:19 UTC. Not financial advice.
Bitcoin price range · 54 overlapping windows · 5 events · $16.3M in play
of the biggest Yes money sits with 3 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
9 proven traders are on Yes, 11 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| floatingraft0x56ad…f13e | No | 250,000 | 72.2¢ | $171K | Losing−$12.10 per $100 · 115 bets |
| 0x8b4b…541b | No | 98,761 | 78.7¢ | $67.7K | Break-even |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| intothethickofit0x4c37…0631 | No | 67,673 | 50.1¢ | $46.4K | New61 settled bets |
| ballinco0x00ff…f7ad | No | 42,553 | 83.5¢ | $29.1K | Break-even−$0.09 per $100 · 365 bets |
| Tokor0xa19c…de6b | Yes | 72,958 | 28.9¢ | $23K | Proven+$13.56 per $100 · 1,691 bets |
| bitterfish0x1cd2…7f85 | No | 32,806 | 92.0¢ | $22.5K | Proven+$9.32 per $100 · 595 bets |
| Chakamanle0xc61a…4a7c | Yes | 61,049 | 24.3¢ | $19.2K | New4 settled bets |
| choohkz230x10fb…c66c | No | 24,407 | 57.5¢ | $16.7K | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 1,027 bets |
| BTCmaxi0xa40a…fa62 | Yes | 52,131 | 20.6¢ | $16.4K | New85 settled bets |
| Valen90x162f…798d | No | 16,741 | 75.1¢ | $11.5K | Proven+$2.48 per $100 · 882 bets |
| JamieIstanbul0xbd31…97a4 | No | 16,400 | 84.4¢ | $11.2K | New67 settled bets |
| allen1140x7cde…b97d | Yes | 35,126 | 64.5¢ | $11.1K | Losing−$5.79 per $100 · 448 bets |
| justanother10x363c…9b0e | Yes | 34,733 | 21.3¢ | $10.9K | Losing−$15.07 per $100 · 429 bets |
| 0x8e77…c4f3 | No | 14,166 | 83.6¢ | $9.7K | Break-even+$0.52 per $100 · 764 bets |
| boyau0xe734…4f0c | No | 13,423 | 67.1¢ | $9.19K | Proven+$8.50 per $100 · 559 bets |
| 0xf705…3ca7 | Yes | 29,027 | 23.1¢ | $9.14K | Proven+$6.45 per $100 · 3,348 bets |
| johnlarx0xe653…4594 | Yes | 24,699 | 46.1¢ | $7.78K | Losing−$12.74 per $100 · 152 bets |
| aaaaaaaaaas0xefc6…0b2d | No | 10,244 | 93.2¢ | $7.02K | New10 settled bets |
| 0x74b4…6bea | No | 10,000 | 90.0¢ | $6.85K | Proven+$2.37 per $100 · 411 bets |
| WCBT0x66d7…5b7b | Yes | 20,356 | 28.7¢ | $6.41K | Losing−$9.96 per $100 · 283 bets |
| max1ved0x3c5d…7be1 | No | 9,223 | 67.1¢ | $6.32K | New21 settled bets |
| Creamethod0xe87f…f8e7 | Yes | 20,000 | 33.0¢ | $6.3K | New13 settled bets |
| taner0x2a08…9513 | No | 9,189 | 54.1¢ | $6.29K | New71 settled bets |
| UnnamedPlayer0110xdcab…4b03 | No | 8,679 | 59.4¢ | $5.95K | New0 settled bets |
| woshiLimpeh0x2e4d…f703 | Yes | 18,601 | 73.0¢ | $5.86K | Losing−$3.44 per $100 · 445 bets |
| 0x3283…1da9 | Yes | 18,357 | 67.8¢ | $5.78K | Losing−$15.00 per $100 · 109 bets |
| 0xde5e…3a94 | No | 7,894 | 58.1¢ | $5.41K | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 158 bets |
| phdcapital0x3b7e…23eb | No | 7,500 | 78.0¢ | $5.14K | Proven+$6.12 per $100 · 310 bets |
| Basquo0xbe52…32c5 | Yes | 15,302 | 15.8¢ | $4.82K | Losing−$18.35 per $100 · 1,039 bets |
| Thr33Musketeers0x8492…2cc3 | No | 7,000 | 84.0¢ | $4.79K | New21 settled bets |
| pako0x71ed…d338 | Yes | 15,000 | 45.0¢ | $4.72K | Proven+$3.00 per $100 · 454 bets |
| tnl0xb619…5068 | No | 6,618 | 62.0¢ | $4.53K | Break-even+$0.97 per $100 · 1,243 bets |
| Moneymovesmaster0xbf44…4d45 | No | 6,176 | 63.3¢ | $4.23K | New89 settled bets |
| RealMaxNick0x6dc4…6770 | No | 6,000 | 75.1¢ | $4.11K | Proven+$2.79 per $100 · 857 bets |
| MickyMauldib0x8b87…3e8d | No | 6,000 | 72.9¢ | $4.11K | Break-even+$0.67 per $100 · 127 bets |
| AlphaBetaGamma23570x5652…00c9 | No | 6,000 | 88.0¢ | $4.11K | Proven+$5.60 per $100 · 868 bets |
| chirico0x9c0c…d6ed | No | 5,611 | 91.9¢ | $3.84K | New14 settled bets |
| coinfun0xa372…1b3e | Yes | 12,179 | 26.8¢ | $3.84K | Losing−$6.15 per $100 · 145 bets |
| 0x6c10…df5c | No | 5,405 | 79.8¢ | $3.7K | Losing−$7.13 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | Yes | 11,629 | 32.1¢ | $3.66K | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| JBODnumber10x0ff3…b0fe | Yes | 11,157 | 47.3¢ | $3.51K | Positive+$3.26 per $100 · 155 bets |
| chickengambler0xebc0…5aaf | Yes | 11,060 | 15.8¢ | $3.48K | New79 settled bets |
| goldshroomz0xedf3…969c | Yes | 11,033 | 28.6¢ | $3.48K | New24 settled bets |
| WearyWanderer0x81fa…c4d6 | No | 5,027 | 46.0¢ | $3.44K | Proven+$18.66 per $100 · 331 bets |
| cryptoincome0xe60f…f4b4 | No | 5,000 | 91.6¢ | $3.43K | Losing−$1.38 per $100 · 999 bets |
| Dr.Damnboy0xdc9e…ba88 | No | 5,000 | 82.0¢ | $3.42K | New99 settled bets |
| AK47470xa5bf…8763 | Yes | 10,246 | 26.9¢ | $3.23K | Losing−$15.45 per $100 · 848 bets |
| maritime63070x5c29…358e | Yes | 10,000 | 31.1¢ | $3.15K | Losing−$13.57 per $100 · 115 bets |
| AlfredTheShiller0xcd6b…68f5 | Yes | 10,000 | 10.0¢ | $3.15K | Proven+$5.96 per $100 · 1,413 bets |
| allen1110x269c…9017 | Yes | 10,000 | 87.0¢ | $3.15K | Break-even−$0.59 per $100 · 705 bets |
| x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd40x6916…2fd4 | Yes | 9,791 | 33.0¢ | $3.08K | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 5,250 bets |
| Hazaswine0x32b6…2f9f | No | 4,150 | 51.1¢ | $2.84K | Positive+$2.44 per $100 · 452 bets |
| peterparker9110xf96e…a9c4 | Yes | 9,000 | 24.1¢ | $2.84K | New47 settled bets |
| frtsa0x18c1…84c5 | Yes | 8,703 | 37.6¢ | $2.74K | New13 settled bets |
| TruongMyLan0x6978…08d8 | No | 4,000 | 73.9¢ | $2.74K | Positive+$6.58 per $100 · 1,267 bets |
| baran-ludoman0xc0bf…2032 | Yes | 8,409 | 36.1¢ | $2.65K | Proven+$11.48 per $100 · 198 bets |
| 0xcdec…ba9b | No | 3,827 | 83.0¢ | $2.62K | New72 settled bets |
| 0x3764…c5eb | Yes | 8,238 | 21.8¢ | $2.59K | Proven+$7.49 per $100 · 1,189 bets |
| 0x7a11…c29c | Yes | 7,494 | 51.0¢ | $2.36K | Break-even+$0.30 per $100 · 196 bets |
| Scoofy-Bubik0x709a…7e39 | No | 3,400 | 87.0¢ | $2.33K | New83 settled bets |
| failstober0x90ed…b5bc | No | 3,333 | 15.0¢ | $2.28K | Proven+$8.51 per $100 · 1,182 bets |
| 0x9231…2212 | No | 3,285 | 62.7¢ | $2.25K | Losing−$6.63 per $100 · 174 bets |
| fanzong10240x51a1…a78f | Yes | 7,105 | 51.0¢ | $2.24K | Break-even+$0.54 per $100 · 113 bets |
| justdance0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | 6,771 | 41.6¢ | $2.13K | Positive+$3.55 per $100 · 30,084+ bets · updating |
| 0x3fd0…0022 | Yes | 6,753 | 21.0¢ | $2.13K | Losing−$1.42 per $100 · 223 bets |
| DOGWIFHAT0xa8da…f944 | Yes | 6,549 | 52.7¢ | $2.06K | Proven+$2.30 per $100 · 238 bets |
| mohitshah99200x6b2e…b2fa | No | 3,000 | 90.1¢ | $2.06K | New52 settled bets |
| BUCKER0x7fa8…8ae6 | No | 3,000 | 71.3¢ | $2.05K | New17 settled bets |
| SleeperHunter0x606f…1083 | No | 3,000 | 69.1¢ | $2.05K | Positive+$1.81 per $100 · 377 bets |
| MrBombastic0x6f8c…a31a | No | 2,776 | 74.0¢ | $1.9K | New43 settled bets |
| 0x815d…8648 | Yes | 5,810 | 38.1¢ | $1.83K | Losing−$12.43 per $100 · 130 bets |
| Cryp0x3883…6bb0 | No | 2,600 | 86.7¢ | $1.78K | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 624 bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 5,640 | 32.2¢ | $1.78K | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| Rin2x0x21c5…3533 | No | 2,500 | 80.4¢ | $1.71K | Break-even+$0.65 per $100 · 4,624 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 2,497 | 91.4¢ | $1.71K | Positive+$8.63 per $100 · 127,579 bets |
| 0x7e0x7e47…ecf7 | Yes | 5,051 | 21.0¢ | $1.59K | Positive+$1.91 per $100 · 378 bets |
| back-in-whack0x5235…c04a | Yes | 5,003 | 21.2¢ | $1.58K | Proven+$2.35 per $100 · 888 bets |
| Selinaluv0xbae1…2f44 | Yes | 4,997 | 33.5¢ | $1.57K | New13 settled bets |
| PutsOnPeace0x635d…5025 | No | 2,200 | 64.2¢ | $1.51K | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 2,042 bets |
| KimJonEn0x8152…bfda | No | 2,113 | 61.6¢ | $1.45K | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 1,459 bets |
| 0xe48a…dc27 | Yes | 4,553 | 18.3¢ | $1.43K | New46 settled bets |
| LilLoose0xe87f…f1e6 | No | 2,087 | 91.3¢ | $1.43K | Losing−$2.43 per $100 · 627 bets |
| G.Hchen0xdb97…eee8 | Yes | 4,500 | 41.3¢ | $1.42K | Proven+$9.18 per $100 · 691 bets |
| Leo0070x3cd1…099e | Yes | 4,388 | 31.3¢ | $1.38K | Losing−$11.17 per $100 · 106 bets |
| zZzzZZzzz10x8cb5…8685 | No | 2,000 | 93.5¢ | $1.37K | Losing−$1.77 per $100 · 1,800 bets |
| deltasniper0x0826…0b32 | No | 2,000 | 57.0¢ | $1.37K | Losing−$1.42 per $100 · 494 bets |
| WuAhUuU0xac0e…c0bf | Yes | 4,235 | 30.6¢ | $1.33K | Losing−$21.54 per $100 · 124 bets |
| 0xa613…1bf9 | Yes | 4,120 | 35.0¢ | $1.3K | New99 settled bets |
| 0x9e7f…f787 | Yes | 4,060 | 45.5¢ | $1.28K | New1 settled bet |
| HumbleChristian0x94d3…9e93 | Yes | 4,036 | 26.1¢ | $1.27K | New8 settled bets |
| Tobias19090xe394…289c | No | 1,810 | 72.6¢ | $1.24K | Proven+$2.67 per $100 · 1,326 bets |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 3,864 | 27.8¢ | $1.22K | Losing−$7.08 per $100 · 225,331+ bets · updating |
| andycz0x43a5…55e9 | Yes | 3,845 | 35.1¢ | $1.21K | New20 settled bets |
| 0x797b…953d | Yes | 3,640 | 41.0¢ | $1.15K | New10 settled bets |
| Cryptoquick0x31bd…5564 | Yes | 3,611 | 29.3¢ | $1.14K | New11 settled bets |
3 accounts bet both sides equally · 13.5K shares each side · Show
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