Market · 12 of 30 outcomes
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 16:58 UTC. Not financial advice.
Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.
18 more outcomes in this event.
Bitcoin price range · Mar 1–31 · 3 events · $14.3M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 9 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| notprofitabl0x42d1…dab6 | No | 1,108,598 | 81.9¢ | $1.07M | New0 settled bets |
| 0x8b4b…541b | No | 86,205 | 86.6¢ | $82.9K | Break-even |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| howaboutsendit0x7dd3…4ae7 | No | 79,959 | 92.2¢ | $76.9K | New0 settled bets |
| LucasMeow0x7f3c…5613 | No | 50,000 | 91.1¢ | $48.1K | Proven+$2.25 per $100 · 208 bets |
| ETHhedge0x9a1f…c925 | No | 39,621 | 80.1¢ | $38.1K | New0 settled bets |
| Marioy0x66ad…cc4e | No | 29,171 | 58.8¢ | $28K | Break-even−$0.03 per $100 · 460 bets |