Market · 29 of 30 outcomes
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:00 UTC. Not financial advice.
18 more outcomes in this event.
Bitcoin price range · Mar 1–31 · 2 events · $14.3M in play
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| iliabouchouev0x95dc…4b45 | No | 10,959 | 98.7¢ | $10.9K | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 16,947 bets |
| bin88880xa80e…b94b | No | 10,754 | 98.4¢ | $10.7K | New |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| iamokman0x060b…548e | No | 5,071 | 98.9¢ | $5.05K | — |
| 9jinguniang0x6d04…6946 | No | 3,196 | 98.8¢ | $3.18K | — |
| NOlono0x2a54…db45 | No | 2,510 | 99.6¢ | $2.5K | — |
| 0xDE60xde6d…0926 | No | 2,300 | 98.1¢ | $2.29K | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 440 shares each side · Show
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