Market · 29 of 30 outcomes
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:15 UTC. Not financial advice.
Bitcoin price range · Mar 1–31 · 2 events · $14.3M in play
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| iliabouchouev0x95dc…4b45 | No | 10,959 | 98.7¢ | $10.9K | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 16,947 bets |
| bin88880xa80e…b94b | No | 10,754 | 98.4¢ | $10.7K | New |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| iamokman0x060b…548e | No | 5,071 | 98.9¢ | $5.05K | — |
| 9jinguniang0x6d04…6946 | No | 3,196 | 98.8¢ | $3.18K | — |
| NOlono0x2a54…db45 | No | 2,510 | 99.6¢ | $2.5K | — |
| 0xDE60xde6d…0926 | No | 2,300 | 98.1¢ | $2.29K | — |
| liamweber0x6cfc…a5c2 | No | 2,249 | 99.6¢ | $2.24K | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 1,255 bets |
| yevhenry0x0164…9ed6 | No | 2,065 | 99.9¢ | $2.06K | Positive+$1.17 per $100 · 1,049 bets |
| 0xac270x01f9…e5b4 | No | 1,592 | 98.0¢ | $1.58K | — |
| 12YTYT0xf11a…be18 | No | 1,561 | 99.6¢ | $1.55K | — |
| 007sevenElena0xc4c9…848f | No | 1,449 | 98.8¢ | $1.44K | — |
| xiaoq0x878a…4b38 | No | 1,253 | 98.7¢ | $1.25K | — |
| money6660xe279…812b | No | 1,202 | 98.7¢ | $1.2K | — |
| 0x091e…84bc | No | 1,179 | 98.7¢ | $1.17K | — |
| 0x2370xbaa2…1da7 | No | 1,075 | 97.6¢ | $1.07K | — |
| Gaolang0x722e…51af | No | 1,027 | 98.9¢ | $1.02K | — |
| qianbei0x2110…45c4 | No | 1,016 | 99.5¢ | $1.01K | — |
| edglaosi0x5e46…ab45 | No | 519 | 98.9¢ | $517 | — |
| 0x180x9caa…60e5 | No | 519 | 98.8¢ | $516 | — |
| waershiwu0xc469…0067 | No | 516 | 98.0¢ | $514 | — |
| 0xbed-4110x3d1e…d8e2 | No | 512 | 98.1¢ | $510 | — |
| edgtwo0x2949…5a71 | No | 508 | 98.7¢ | $506 | — |
| xefc0xef3c…4245 | No | 502 | 98.9¢ | $499 | — |
| cutejy0xac37…fa1c | No | 392 | 99.4¢ | $391 | — |
| rusiimwameagan0x261d…4918 | No | 377 | 99.6¢ | $375 | — |
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | No | 361 | 99.0¢ | $360 | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| obolmaya0x9421…0c05 | No | 359 | 99.6¢ | $358 | — |
| andrewssebunya0x75e5…b79d | No | 346 | 99.6¢ | $345 | — |
| 743lper0x5a94…8f9d | No | 342 | 99.5¢ | $340 | — |
| grimesmohammed0x3ed7…1fd9 | No | 327 | 99.6¢ | $326 | — |
| continuekaton0x7d7a…bc1f | No | 278 | 98.9¢ | $277 | — |
| bitcointothemoon0xf591…6ad5 | No | 272 | 99.4¢ | $270 | — |
| Mojooojo0x68c4…1305 | No | 253 | 98.9¢ | $252 | — |
| redstronzo0xf195…b488 | No | 250 | 98.9¢ | $249 | — |
| hottalk0x3811…b304 | No | 227 | 98.1¢ | $226 | — |
| Switch0x03b0…8581 | No | 201 | 99.6¢ | $200 | — |
| Akolit0xc9b4…0756 | No | 196 | 99.6¢ | $195 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 175 | 99.6¢ | $174 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| bacianicchio0x6d44…f042 | No | 153 | 97.8¢ | $153 | — |
| FerraMoll0x202e…3c27 | No | 140 | 99.6¢ | $139 | — |
| yara480951370xe635…0cc7 | No | 129 | 99.5¢ | $128 | — |
| 0xce53…0e1d | No | 126 | 99.5¢ | $126 | — |
| 0xfdec…db45 | No | 124 | 99.5¢ | $124 | — |
| 0x9e43…91e4 | No | 123 | 99.5¢ | $122 | — |
| 0x2c4a…963f | No | 122 | 99.5¢ | $122 | — |
| 0x697f…730b | No | 122 | 99.5¢ | $122 | — |
| 0xaf82…7f71 | No | 121 | 99.5¢ | $121 | — |
| 0x72db…1c40 | No | 121 | 99.5¢ | $120 | — |
| cjia0x8860…89f7 | No | 120 | 97.9¢ | $120 | — |
| 0xfa39…977f | Yes | 15,777 | 0.4¢ | $71 | Proven+$9.13 per $100 · 1,050 bets |
| kokorzowsky0x3032…af12 | Yes | 15,354 | 1.8¢ | $69 | — |
| tiger110xe821…b27e | Yes | 10,595 | 1.5¢ | $48 | Losing−$2.71 per $100 · 6,036 bets |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 10,468 | 0.4¢ | $47 | Positive+$12.16 per $100 · 3,927 bets |
| ManhattaN890x57d8…69b0 | Yes | 3,773 | 2.2¢ | $17 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 3,154 | 1.5¢ | $14 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| 0x9c35…020d | Yes | 2,698 | 2.8¢ | $12 | — |
| JesusKingofKings0x1c00…741d | Yes | 2,265 | 0.6¢ | $10 | — |
| nryy0xafbc…18c6 | Yes | 2,120 | 1.5¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x7ad0…19e3 | Yes | 2,100 | 2.3¢ | $9 | — |
| lasix9280x83d4…bce8 | Yes | 2,000 | 1.3¢ | $9 | — |
| 0x9cdc…a1ce | Yes | 1,206 | 2.4¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xd585…0f14 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.5¢ | $5 | — |
| Walzno20xa284…c658 | Yes | 800 | 2.5¢ | $4 | — |
| agdi0xdb55…85af | Yes | 758 | 1.6¢ | $3 | — |
| TheCandyManCan0xe95f…93d6 | Yes | 753 | 0.8¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xbd51…7feb | Yes | 500 | 1.5¢ | $2 | — |
| pslaw0x3f13…ca9a | Yes | 476 | 2.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xa269…ddc9 | Yes | 400 | 0.5¢ | $2 | — |
| omnibus-6c8b150x6c8b…645c | Yes | 385 | 1.4¢ | $2 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 250 | 1.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.99 per $100 · 29,969+ bets · updating |
| 0xff54…0b00 | Yes | 238 | 2.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xf957…b4bb | Yes | 235 | 1.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xde76…215d | Yes | 208 | 2.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 11samiam0x04d6…9523 | Yes | 192 | 2.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x30e1…1bed | Yes | 190 | 2.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x9b89…720d | Yes | 167 | 0.6¢ | $1 | — |
| VinolinG0x0c45…6bbf | Yes | 154 | 1.4¢ | $1 | — |
| TonyChao0x43e8…5ba4 | Yes | 154 | 0.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xd1d5…5fa8 | Yes | 118 | 1.7¢ | $1 | — |
| ZXCHKK0x3404…82b0 | Yes | 115 | 2.3¢ | $1 | — |
| diuhg6880xe356…6f3a | Yes | 110 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf44e…cd73 | Yes | 101 | 2.6¢ | $0 | — |
| htft0xac7f…0dc4 | Yes | 100 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| blurmaggie8880xd7e4…7137 | Yes | 100 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Cozybottty0x715d…1bfc | Yes | 81 | 1.4¢ | $0 | — |
| kapitel0x8e40…cda7 | Yes | 80 | 2.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x5496…e91b | Yes | 77 | 1.4¢ | $0 | — |
| hamed.gh0x13a2…5e27 | Yes | 71 | 1.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 71 | 1.5¢ | $0 | — |
| zhonghaixiong0x555a…8ff6 | Yes | 70 | 1.2¢ | $0 | — |
| SanTonho0x65e0…52b6 | Yes | 67 | 1.5¢ | $0 | — |
| zod.jabb0x2b3c…86f2 | Yes | 50 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| RYBOT0x65f7…6d1a | Yes | 50 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa0c2…6325 | Yes | 50 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| tothemoonandmars0xc266…e2dd | Yes | 48 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| darling5590x66c3…c876 | Yes | 45 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9e60…843d | Yes | 45 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xed68…b846 | Yes | 45 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 440 shares each side · Show
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