Market · 28 of 30 outcomes
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 09:24 UTC. Not financial advice.
Bitcoin price range · 54 overlapping windows · 5 events · $16.3M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JanAMEX0x6765…fa0d | No | 111,692 | 95.5¢ | $111K | Positive+$1.61 per $100 · 456 bets |
| geniusMC0x0b9c…7e44 | No | 62,935 | 93.7¢ | $62.7K | Positive+$1.99 per $100 · 1,078 bets |
| iliabouchouev0x95dc…4b45 | No | 21,417 | 98.3¢ | $21.3K | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 16,947 bets |
| chongchongpanda0x121f…15c1 | No | 18,079 | 98.8¢ | $18K | Break-even+$0.09 per $100 · 126 bets |
| ndb10xfea3…d227 | No | 11,834 | 98.2¢ | $11.8K | Positive+$3.49 per $100 · 2,396 bets |
| virus1230xd81c…971b | No | 6,174 | 96.3¢ | $6.15K | — |
| horus19990xb6f0…1fd3 | No | 5,991 | 96.3¢ | $5.96K | — |
| Besserwisser0x9879…bc99 | No | 5,719 | 98.1¢ | $5.69K | New50 settled bets |
| win9210xd1ca…be89 | No | 5,031 | 96.1¢ | $5.01K | — |
| 0x2Ea0x2ea8…1fbf | No | 4,000 | 96.7¢ | $3.98K | Proven+$4.65 per $100 · 1,535 bets |
| 0x3280x328e…dc42 | No | 3,500 | 96.7¢ | $3.48K | Losing−$3.10 per $100 · 1,015 bets |
| justdance0xcc50…4c82 | No | 3,367 | 93.0¢ | $3.35K | Proven+$3.34 per $100 · 32,701 bets |
| zd888880xaa0d…c48c | No | 3,099 | 98.3¢ | $3.08K | — |
| 0xD3D0xd3df…82fa | No | 3,000 | 96.8¢ | $2.99K | Proven+$2.46 per $100 · 1,652 bets |
| ls10xbea1…2909 | No | 2,107 | 94.9¢ | $2.1K | — |
| sameday10xe36f…cd91 | No | 1,664 | 97.1¢ | $1.66K | New64 settled bets |
| 0xe89e…0600 | No | 1,408 | 94.5¢ | $1.4K | Break-even−$0.32 per $100 · 3,558 bets |
| Cyberflems0x49c4…bf77 | No | 1,348 | 95.3¢ | $1.34K | Break-even+$0.28 per $100 · 1,433 bets |
| x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd40x6916…2fd4 | No | 1,271 | 99.0¢ | $1.26K | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 5,250 bets |
| laopodiyi0xb1dc…a203 | No | 1,096 | 94.9¢ | $1.09K | — |
| Hipshot0x1554…3d27 | No | 1,048 | 95.5¢ | $1.04K | New40 settled bets |
| defifelix0x4399…2bd0 | No | 1,026 | 97.9¢ | $1.02K | New82 settled bets |
| chickengambler0xebc0…5aaf | No | 1,000 | 94.8¢ | $996 | New79 settled bets |
| c9110xeb5c…cb93 | No | 836 | 95.7¢ | $832 | — |
| bestblue0x4814…1968 | No | 800 | 96.7¢ | $796 | Positive+$1.58 per $100 · 187 bets |
| xiang0x9b77…b6c2 | No | 723 | 97.0¢ | $719 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 699 | 95.3¢ | $695 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| beastprinting0x4952…44b7 | No | 606 | 96.3¢ | $603 | New89 settled bets |
| 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b040x9507…7b04 | No | 600 | 94.9¢ | $597 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 3,709 bets |
| pkFire0x2617…afc5 | No | 524 | 95.5¢ | $521 | Proven+$6.74 per $100 · 234 bets |
| kigandacathryn0xb51a…16b4 | No | 505 | 99.4¢ | $503 | — |
| yevhenry0x0164…9ed6 | No | 500 | 98.5¢ | $498 | Positive+$1.17 per $100 · 1,049 bets |
| zhuhao20xc3d0…be43 | No | 469 | 95.2¢ | $467 | — |
| peseldan0xfd34…de18 | No | 400 | 98.3¢ | $398 | — |
| muddappa0x4c8d…7b9b | Yes | 81,670 | 6.3¢ | $368 | New8 settled bets |
| lutic0xe1a8…2045 | No | 350 | 98.4¢ | $348 | — |
| us.strike0x0312…9f6b | No | 307 | 94.2¢ | $306 | New3 settled bets |
| Krass0x581d…b2e3 | No | 300 | 95.0¢ | $299 | Proven+$4.65 per $100 · 885 bets |
| eAccAi0xa43e…f8d2 | No | 300 | 98.3¢ | $299 | — |
| MannaNebesnaya0xb308…9a32 | No | 300 | 98.3¢ | $299 | — |
| ToledoPe0xbb87…fa96 | No | 300 | 98.7¢ | $299 | — |
| lelouchew0x1bcb…ec5d | No | 300 | 98.6¢ | $299 | New26 settled bets |
| Tarcapick1120x8685…7ad9 | No | 300 | 98.3¢ | $299 | — |
| ViktorAxelsen0xddd1…02b9 | No | 300 | 98.5¢ | $299 | — |
| AlexeyyFTW0x494e…565e | No | 300 | 98.3¢ | $299 | New26 settled bets |
| smallballninja0xc58c…e7b6 | No | 300 | 98.5¢ | $299 | New49 settled bets |
| GhostOfAbathur0x1846…aefe | No | 300 | 98.6¢ | $299 | New47 settled bets |
| NurofenA0xa38a…3b2f | No | 300 | 98.5¢ | $299 | — |
| LRRRSV0x4593…9d77 | No | 295 | 98.3¢ | $294 | New40 settled bets |
| Puafaze0x7af6…776b | No | 266 | 98.6¢ | $265 | New26 settled bets |
| PavelPuhov0x0877…6a70 | No | 250 | 96.5¢ | $249 | New18 settled bets |
| 0xfa39…977f | Yes | 44,786 | 0.4¢ | $202 | Proven+$9.13 per $100 · 1,050 bets |
| TheGreatReborn0xff5a…aefa | Yes | 23,485 | 4.5¢ | $106 | — |
| Fredrpa0xf4ce…865c | Yes | 20,716 | 3.6¢ | $93 | — |
| dexttte3320x7027…590d | Yes | 19,176 | 5.2¢ | $86 | New2 settled bets |
| 0x880c…cc6f | Yes | 12,774 | 4.5¢ | $57 | New0 settled bets |
| Basquo0xbe52…32c5 | Yes | 7,553 | 3.6¢ | $34 | Losing−$18.35 per $100 · 1,039 bets |
| 0x403f…b886 | Yes | 6,005 | 1.2¢ | $27 | Positive+$11.61 per $100 · 112 bets |
| Rufr0xbb5d…fa33 | Yes | 5,407 | 5.5¢ | $24 | New6 settled bets |
| 300PS0x8f41…260e | Yes | 5,227 | 0.4¢ | $24 | Break-even+$0.43 per $100 · 4,552 bets |
| tiger110xe821…b27e | Yes | 5,003 | 1.7¢ | $23 | Losing−$2.71 per $100 · 6,036 bets |
| gud4you0xb267…8426 | Yes | 4,788 | 4.9¢ | $22 | — |
| Volosaty1000xf138…d815 | Yes | 4,003 | 5.0¢ | $18 | — |
| Jjjj.0xa740…ee18 | Yes | 3,779 | 2.9¢ | $17 | — |
| Pokdmon0x6aed…d4fa | Yes | 3,516 | 5.3¢ | $16 | New10 settled bets |
| IAmNotAmerican0x637d…2392 | Yes | 3,233 | 3.1¢ | $15 | Losing−$6.25 per $100 · 531 bets |
| Thedid0x0726…ab5c | Yes | 3,126 | 5.3¢ | $14 | New24 settled bets |
| sebbag0x477d…bfa5 | Yes | 3,071 | 3.4¢ | $14 | New0 settled bets |
| 0x7ad0…19e3 | Yes | 3,025 | 2.4¢ | $14 | New37 settled bets |
| 0xa7f7…0e32 | Yes | 2,778 | 5.4¢ | $12 | — |
| ronniegrob0x5494…85fe | Yes | 2,766 | 5.6¢ | $12 | New43 settled bets |
| Rambo7770xd7c5…a855 | Yes | 2,703 | 3.7¢ | $12 | — |
| 0xc838…b106 | Yes | 1,532 | 5.2¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x9642…d2ab | Yes | 1,469 | 5.7¢ | $7 | — |
| Kartun0xf37b…5099 | Yes | 1,400 | 4.9¢ | $6 | — |
| agdi0xdb55…85af | Yes | 1,398 | 5.4¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x30f5…8a42 | Yes | 1,300 | 4.0¢ | $6 | New3 settled bets |
| Ruyakal0x6b8a…0d66 | Yes | 1,176 | 1.8¢ | $5 | Losing−$27.88 per $100 · 1,233 bets |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 1,153 | 3.0¢ | $5 | Positive+$12.21 per $100 · 3,931 bets |
| 0x32db…c7f0 | Yes | 1,106 | 2.5¢ | $5 | New34 settled bets |
| igor-ivanov0x1466…0e9f | Yes | 1,000 | 5.6¢ | $5 | New32 settled bets |
| Brucelee20200x90b2…0478 | Yes | 975 | 5.1¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x55b6…c311 | Yes | 933 | 5.3¢ | $4 | New0 settled bets |
| Jeesuksenmorsian0x33af…675e | Yes | 768 | 1.8¢ | $3 | Positive+$8.78 per $100 · 248 bets |
| Atom55370xd778…f2d5 | Yes | 714 | 1.5¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x9cdc…a1ce | Yes | 689 | 4.4¢ | $3 | — |
| K2C0x04db…c253 | Yes | 667 | 1.6¢ | $3 | New64 settled bets |
| 0x0be0…2354 | Yes | 600 | 5.2¢ | $3 | New7 settled bets |
| Clarence3330xee4f…b168 | Yes | 573 | 5.9¢ | $3 | — |
| TheCandyManCan0xe95f…93d6 | Yes | 555 | 1.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Gothic77880x9683…38e4 | Yes | 521 | 1.2¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x02c2…dd5d | Yes | 418 | 5.5¢ | $2 | New4 settled bets |
| FarmStatistics0x4a13…e921 | Yes | 412 | 5.1¢ | $2 | New41 settled bets |
| 0x6ca1…72ae | Yes | 392 | 5.1¢ | $2 | New15 settled bets |
| rodoge0x4f39…0de7 | Yes | 385 | 5.9¢ | $2 | New12 settled bets |
| TonyChao0x43e8…5ba4 | Yes | 376 | 2.9¢ | $2 | Losing−$15.76 per $100 · 1,413 bets |
| 2kparabellum0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | 355 | 1.0¢ | $2 | — |
| miazagsc0xd517…382d | Yes | 352 | 1.9¢ | $2 | — |
| kegeraider10x5b82…ce6e | Yes | 351 | 5.7¢ | $2 | New25 settled bets |
| 0xbd51…7feb | Yes | 300 | 5.5¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.