Market · 6 of 14 outcomes
Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 22:52 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xeny0x7b75…3fd1 | No | 678 | 94.2¢ | $644 | Proven+$3.11 per $100 · 2,681 bets |
| 0x7a28z10x1c79…c259 | No | 200 | 92.3¢ | $190 | — |
| 0x1411…2410 | No | 150 | 92.3¢ | $143 | Proven+$3.28 per $100 · 354 bets |
| deepsleep0x8394…8d66 | No | 50 | 94.2¢ | $47 | Proven+$2.26 per $100 · 368 bets |
| Laura531250xdaaa…9dd8 | No | 40 | 92.3¢ | $38 | — |
| DooBieZ0xdb40…3612 | Yes | 309 | 5.5¢ | $15 | Break-even+$0.59 per $100 · 8,086 bets |
| 0xeae7…8e9e | No | 16 | 94.2¢ | $15 | — |
| mrmuller0x975d…01be | Yes | 127 | 6.4¢ | $6 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 110 | 6.3¢ | $6 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 8,489 bets |
| 1BTCis1BTC0xc759…b965 | Yes | 100 | 6.2¢ | $5 | — |
| protonboy0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | 100 | 5.8¢ | $5 | — |
| Oklmntrader0x6f67…102c | Yes | 92 | 8.0¢ | $5 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 87 | 7.3¢ | $4 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,382+ bets · updating |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 84 | 8.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 42 | 5.5¢ | $2 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| dropmeplease0x758b…0a1c | Yes | 40 | 7.5¢ | $2 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 20 | 7.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 9 | 6.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 0xc6d7…4399 | Yes | 5 | 9.3¢ | $0 | — |
| keybo0xc71b…e265 | Yes | 4 | 8.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x49F2060x49f2…d7b4 | Yes | 3 | 5.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.02 per $100 · 1,714 bets |
| sebelmaestro0x1a96…9797 | No | 0 | 92.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.17 per $100 · 5,892 bets |
| Wordsmith0x3659…0451 | Yes | 0 | 7.4¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
#1 AI Model Company · End of December 2026 · 2 events · $39.2K in play