Market · 2 of 7 outcomes
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 03:36 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEGENKHAN0x21d0…ce91 | Yes | 4,981 | 6.9¢ | $570 | Positive+$1.05 per $100 · 2,670 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 4,014 | 10.7¢ | $460 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 128,124 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 400 | 90.9¢ | $354 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 1,900 | 9.3¢ | $218 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,075 bets |
| hfv0xe102…71df | No | 199 | 91.7¢ | $176 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 161 | 92.4¢ | $142 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| lennyst0x00ad…bac7 | Yes | 1,175 | 9.7¢ | $135 | — |
| 0xbd6d…ed0b | Yes | 1,020 | 13.5¢ | $117 | — |
| 0x7577…8fb9 | Yes | 994 | 12.2¢ | $114 | Positive+$1.08 per $100 · 210 bets |
| Goorsakbardari0x5670…2b9c | Yes | 874 | 18.7¢ | $100 | Losing−$3.17 per $100 · 155 bets |
| televisionloud0x6c1c…1ac2 | No | 100 | 91.8¢ | $89 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 1,838 bets |
| nelbal84860x8c44…fcd4 | Yes | 773 | 17.2¢ | $89 | Positive+$4.41 per $100 · 128 bets |
| suoha5180x29bb…f0f4 | Yes | 715 | 12.9¢ | $82 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 608 | 9.2¢ | $70 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,990 bets |
| luck5180x8ffc…9529 | Yes | 502 | 16.1¢ | $57 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 486 | 9.5¢ | $56 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,318 bets |
| 0x3764…c5eb | Yes | 400 | 15.7¢ | $46 | Proven+$7.49 per $100 · 1,189 bets |
| 3874110074156118140922178973870xa49b…7054 | Yes | 398 | 11.6¢ | $46 | Proven+$3.34 per $100 · 43,926 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 393 | 6.4¢ | $45 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,642 bets |
| MiaoAlpha0x5231…ca59 | Yes | 364 | 18.6¢ | $42 | New36 settled bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 40 | 90.1¢ | $35 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,833+ bets · updating |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 200 | 7.8¢ | $23 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| zwp0x539b…624c | Yes | 196 | 13.0¢ | $22 | Proven+$7.94 per $100 · 107 bets |
| marcopolosrhino0x8d02…2753 | Yes | 177 | 12.9¢ | $20 | Positive+$1.92 per $100 · 591 bets |
| the-contrarian0xedc6…20fc | No | 20 | 71.8¢ | $18 | — |
| Clarencetsai0x8c04…2eae | Yes | 150 | 9.5¢ | $17 | New12 settled bets |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | 132 | 14.8¢ | $15 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| hoshigaki.kisame0x277a…6345 | Yes | 112 | 10.7¢ | $13 | — |
| steevo0x0437…30f4 | Yes | 103 | 20.5¢ | $12 | — |
| rplc-crpt0x8a52…6a3c | Yes | 100 | 9.4¢ | $11 | — |
| oligarc0x6842…f629 | Yes | 98 | 10.6¢ | $11 | — |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1 | No | 12 | 93.2¢ | $11 | — |
| FrankG47280x7b3a…c1fb | Yes | 86 | 12.0¢ | $10 | Positive+$21.74 per $100 · 232 bets |
| asdfasdf110xc216…888c | No | 10 | 80.2¢ | $9 | — |
| kk8s118es0xe39f…f224 | No | 10 | 80.2¢ | $9 | — |
| 0xac1a…96b7 | Yes | 54 | 9.3¢ | $6 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 53 | 2.5¢ | $6 | — |
| Lipider0x0523…a3ed | No | 7 | 89.4¢ | $6 | New78 settled bets |
| Morras0x7ab8…65db | Yes | 40 | 10.4¢ | $5 | — |
| svoter0x1c56…0b1d | No | 5 | 72.2¢ | $4 | — |
| e1ng5z12b29f0xaa41…9aba | No | 5 | 89.4¢ | $4 | — |
| iskren4o0x64ab…23a8 | Yes | 36 | 14.3¢ | $4 | — |
| zhou6660x9a38…260a | Yes | 36 | 15.8¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x0550…c7ef | Yes | 19 | 18.6¢ | $2 | — |
| Mmmz810x9aed…bc6f | Yes | 15 | 20.9¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x0b3e328455c4059EEb9e3f84b5543F74E24e7E1w0xbcde…8dda | Yes | 15 | 8.0¢ | $2 | — |
| OmeadAzadeh0x962e…1d75 | No | 1 | 84.6¢ | $1 | — |
| adsfasdf1130x0dba…2db9 | Yes | 10 | 6.6¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.12 per $100 · 7,608 bets |
| asdfll10x601f…bb82 | Yes | 10 | 6.6¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 7,353 bets |
| wozaitaibei0xdad7…005a | Yes | 10 | 16.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x0c9b…f80a | Yes | 7 | 22.7¢ | $1 | Losing−$12.70 per $100 · 165 bets |
| calm.rabbit0x33db…417a | Yes | 7 | 13.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x7b6b…e20a | Yes | 7 | 15.5¢ | $1 | — |
| wjejdn0x679c…0c0c | Yes | 6 | 18.6¢ | $1 | — |
| animal.bean0x2a25…8055 | Yes | 5 | 8.3¢ | $1 | — |
| giochi0xcd96…11a3 | Yes | 5 | 19.6¢ | $1 | — |
| germanamz0x44ae…fc41 | Yes | 5 | 20.6¢ | $1 | — |
| dfobos0x78f5…bccd | Yes | 5 | 3.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xa169…1b73 | Yes | 5 | 11.0¢ | $1 | — |
| denso0xae48…afbe | Yes | 5 | 8.3¢ | $1 | — |
| monoclith0x24e8…4546 | No | 1 | 86.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xb032…c16c | Yes | 3 | 8.3¢ | $0 | — |
| cwc9090x8db4…9c07 | Yes | 2 | 8.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Laribobibo0x721a…9295 | Yes | 1 | 22.3¢ | $0 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 0 | 91.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 90.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | No | 0 | 84.2¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| 0xc5da…5f86 | No | 0 | 95.1¢ | $0 | — |
| god837438940xe040…824f | No | 0 | 93.3¢ | $0 | — |
| sgtmike0x839f…d3f5 | No | 0 | 83.6¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.62 per $100 · 13,727 bets |
| Novus0rdoSeclorum0xcd91…32b8 | No | 0 | 89.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.04 per $100 · 41,780 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 0 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 104 events · $6.09M in play
Exactly one of this event's 7 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.