Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 22:42 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VLamarca0xf6d6…f810 | No | 1,053 | 83.7¢ | $900 | Break-even+$0.74 per $100 · 278 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 636 | 86.4¢ | $544 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
| nonkenny900x5cd5…ac33 | No | 533 | 84.5¢ | $456 | Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 8,974 bets |
| 0x6c10…df5c | No | 500 | 79.7¢ | $428 | Losing−$7.13 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| enrico-vasaio0xcc79…1c2a | No | 325 | 64.6¢ | $278 | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 1,143 bets |
| ansatz0x5fa4…cd4e | No | 323 | 60.0¢ | $276 | Positive+$1.24 per $100 · 320 bets |
| Dapsy0x73d2…f9b7 | No | 200 | 82.0¢ | $171 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 190 | 85.9¢ | $162 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,166 bets |
| 0x41c9…716b | Yes | 484 | 20.6¢ | $70 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 429 | 14.0¢ | $62 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| SusanWarrenHR0x22db…190f | Yes | 400 | 18.6¢ | $58 | Proven+$4.72 per $100 · 8,310 bets |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 371 | 19.8¢ | $54 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 340 | 17.9¢ | $49 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| rocky420160x8d88…1e28 | Yes | 300 | 20.0¢ | $44 | Break-even−$0.49 per $100 · 11,002 bets |
| memorymaker20490x9259…c2d3 | No | 50 | 86.5¢ | $43 | — |
| Faston0xa7fe…1f3e | Yes | 290 | 9.3¢ | $42 | — |
| EconProf0x2811…6818 | No | 46 | 86.5¢ | $39 | Positive+$1.77 per $100 · 519 bets |
| whumpa0xe000…cbb1 | Yes | 185 | 45.7¢ | $27 | — |
| 0x659b…e53a | Yes | 143 | 21.7¢ | $21 | — |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | Yes | 120 | 18.0¢ | $17 | Losing−$3.30 per $100 · 5,059 bets |
| d5fg2df4g0x0657…2b79 | No | 20 | 88.0¢ | $17 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 20 | 82.0¢ | $17 | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,870 bets |
| SickandTired0x290d…dc40 | No | 20 | 80.0¢ | $17 | Break-even−$0.40 per $100 · 1,218 bets |
| spacexstar0xb06c…b574 | No | 20 | 87.0¢ | $17 | Losing−$1.94 per $100 · 614 bets |
| Collision390xb17a…0f66 | No | 20 | 78.2¢ | $17 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 17 | 89.0¢ | $14 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,987 bets |
| 0x2b67…b814 | Yes | 82 | 26.8¢ | $12 | Proven+$6.28 per $100 · 357 bets |
| 0x1828…5bcc | No | 13 | 87.1¢ | $11 | — |
| predictionmarketslover0xf587…de7f | Yes | 63 | 32.9¢ | $9 | — |
| fefaa0x3faf…9c93 | No | 10 | 69.9¢ | $9 | — |
| kk8s118es0xe39f…f224 | No | 10 | 85.0¢ | $9 | — |
| asdfasdf110xc216…888c | No | 10 | 85.0¢ | $9 | — |
| Denisimus10xc5a9…e5d9 | Yes | 58 | 23.0¢ | $8 | — |
| VolynMolfar0x6c2a…b7b5 | Yes | 54 | 40.9¢ | $8 | Positive+$1.70 per $100 · 1,449 bets |
| juffs0x93d9…ad95 | Yes | 50 | 15.0¢ | $7 | — |
| 0xeae7…8e9e | Yes | 50 | 11.4¢ | $7 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 45 | 14.0¢ | $6 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,382+ bets · updating |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 40 | 23.0¢ | $6 | — |
| predictdogepepewif0xf524…8178 | Yes | 40 | 18.5¢ | $6 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 11,425 bets |
| Onswaggie0x9b08…4632 | No | 7 | 62.0¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x9495…468f | Yes | 39 | 19.0¢ | $6 | Losing−$4.14 per $100 · 12,915 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 38 | 31.0¢ | $6 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| madbod770x973b…fa42 | Yes | 36 | 25.8¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xf470…cbe1 | Yes | 36 | 14.0¢ | $5 | — |
| e58xukrsmqza0x6626…584c | No | 6 | 84.4¢ | $5 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 31 | 15.1¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| arsvictoriae0x79a1…2cd1 | Yes | 31 | 32.9¢ | $5 | — |
| PapiTrump0x7dce…981e | Yes | 29 | 17.6¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.82 per $100 · 640 bets |
| randomnamef0xf57b…8182 | Yes | 29 | 35.9¢ | $4 | — |
| V4grant0xf5bb…bdb8 | Yes | 21 | 14.5¢ | $3 | — |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | Yes | 20 | 18.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$3.37 per $100 · 13,656 bets |
| andriitws0x40a0…d877 | Yes | 20 | 25.8¢ | $3 | — |
| oli110xbcfd…c364 | Yes | 20 | 60.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x00cd…c0ae | No | 3 | 69.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$1.01 per $100 · 4,124 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 18 | 14.5¢ | $3 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| 0xda0f…2a19 | Yes | 11 | 45.2¢ | $2 | — |
| winexecutescale0xfe93…8d0e | Yes | 11 | 19.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xb294…a90c | No | 2 | 58.0¢ | $1 | — |
| S8880x0711…f03c | Yes | 10 | 13.0¢ | $1 | Proven+$9.11 per $100 · 9,042 bets |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 10 | 43.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| bbd113d0x3c7b…6863 | Yes | 10 | 17.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.31 per $100 · 3,847 bets |
| zxcursed1210x945a…a48c | Yes | 10 | 18.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$5.77 per $100 · 77,753+ bets · updating |
| Shekel0x3e56…35d5 | Yes | 9 | 11.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 8 | 42.0¢ | $1 | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 66,067 bets |
| Sam-AI0xe008…f7d3 | No | 1 | 75.5¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.41 per $100 · 3,185 bets |
| preciseploys0x3492…7f3b | No | 1 | 91.0¢ | $1 | — |
| aviax0x939a…824c | No | 1 | 85.5¢ | $1 | — |
| infoowl0xbeb1…2630 | Yes | 6 | 18.0¢ | $1 | — |
| ssssss12230x9cfd…dfe7 | No | 1 | 62.0¢ | $1 | — |
| ddaasdf0x9209…a393 | Yes | 6 | 17.0¢ | $1 | — |
| tanirus0x9765…a019 | Yes | 6 | 18.6¢ | $1 | — |
| Petty.Bourgeoise0x0a79…1cd5 | Yes | 5 | 20.6¢ | $1 | Positive+$5.50 per $100 · 146 bets |
| 0xa39f…fbdb | Yes | 5 | 17.0¢ | $1 | — |
| ProfitMuhammedPBUH0xae7c…487e | Yes | 5 | 30.8¢ | $1 | — |
| ox7eD3aed17a79c2A3375Da27a9470b310585027AA0x7ed3…27aa | Yes | 4 | 24.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xf0ba…3e29 | No | 1 | 87.0¢ | $1 | — |
| sirjhow010x764a…83d3 | Yes | 3 | 21.0¢ | $0 | — |
| G1580x1484…e37d | Yes | 3 | 35.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x0a8e…05a4 | No | 0 | 49.2¢ | $0 | — |
| pinner0xd886…1746 | No | 0 | 81.0¢ | $0 | — |
| mthang0xdc31…3fe8 | Yes | 1 | 48.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x45e6…c078 | No | 0 | 57.0¢ | $0 | — |
| fooba0xf5aa…f768 | Yes | 1 | 51.3¢ | $0 | — |
| BurningDaylight0x9b9d…77de | No | 0 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | 0 | 83.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf0e0…016a | No | 0 | 88.0¢ | $0 | — |
| shoobadooba180x2d6c…e3f5 | No | 0 | 84.5¢ | $0 | — |
| napamen0x8494…814a | No | 0 | 82.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 102 events · $6.08M in play