Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 20:02 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VLamarca0xf6d6…f810 | No | 1,053 | 83.7¢ | $900 | Break-even+$0.74 per $100 · 278 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 636 | 86.4¢ | $544 | Break-even |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| nonkenny900x5cd5…ac33 | No | 533 | 84.5¢ | $456 | Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 8,971 bets |
| 0x6c10…df5c | No | 500 | 79.7¢ | $428 | Losing−$7.13 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| enrico-vasaio0xcc79…1c2a | No | 325 | 64.6¢ | $278 | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 1,143 bets |
| ansatz0x5fa4…cd4e | No | 323 | 60.0¢ | $276 | Positive+$1.24 per $100 · 320 bets |
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 101 events · $6.08M in play