Market · 4 of 5 outcomes
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 09:43 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 8 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| classified0x12d6…f2a8 | Yes | 7,993 | 63.7¢ | $5.08K | Positive+$3.90 per $100 · 1,966 bets |
| meagainsttheworld0x9592…a7b8 | No | 12,135 | 29.2¢ | $4.43K | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| eCash0x62cf…5826 | Yes | 6,743 | 62.8¢ | $4.28K | Proven+$6.07 per $100 · 625 bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | Yes | 3,552 | 65.1¢ | $2.26K | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,672 bets |
| noib0x187f…5fee | No | 5,823 | 39.5¢ | $2.13K | Positive+$5.43 per $100 · 215 bets |
| 8811120xd426…334a | No | 4,412 | 30.7¢ | $1.61K | Proven+$15.37 per $100 · 1,938 bets |