Market · 3 of 5 outcomes
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 17:56 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 6 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dragontree0x2c39…56dc | Yes | 15,541 | 72.9¢ | $11.6K | Proven+$2.69 per $100 · 3,239 bets |
| classified0x12d6…f2a8 | Yes | 9,458 | 75.9¢ | $7.05K |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| 0x6bab…0fe5 | Yes | 3,765 | 71.3¢ | $2.81K | Proven+$7.70 per $100 · 371 bets |
| EmanuelEG0x9baa…b2f9 | No | 7,234 | 24.7¢ | $1.84K | — |
| pakukudolphi0x88e2…7489 | Yes | 2,471 | 75.0¢ | $1.84K | Proven+$5.66 per $100 · 278 bets |
| noib0x187f…5fee | No | 6,820 | 28.6¢ | $1.74K | Positive+$5.43 per $100 · 215 bets |