Market · 1 of 4 outcomes
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:59 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| zhaoyk0xcc03…d5c0 | No | 24,291 | 75.4¢ | $18.9K | New28 settled bets |
| AlAhmeda0x9d73…216b | No | 10,682 | 72.9¢ | $8.33K | Losing |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| 0xcca9…4c9f | No | 6,139 | 70.4¢ | $4.79K | Break-even−$0.50 per $100 · 265 bets |
| yikaiz0xe258…d084 | No | 3,434 | 70.6¢ | $2.68K | New15 settled bets |
| givemeusername0xb78d…0d5b | No | 2,673 | 75.2¢ | $2.09K | — |
| Rolocex0x4e8b…1ea1 | No | 2,655 | 76.8¢ | $2.07K | Break-even+$0.31 per $100 · 661 bets |