June 30, 2027

Full rules

As written on Polymarket for “Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?”.

1. §1This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET).
2. §2Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
3. §3Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
4. §4An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
5. §5The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.