Market · 4 of 4 outcomes
Iran leadership change by October 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:26 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 8 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| stupid220x8afa…adb6 | No | 103,300 | 98.0¢ | $101K | Break-even−$0.83 per $100 · 918 bets |
| thoodr0x3eae…e2ed | No | 21,883 | 97.9¢ | $21.4K | Positive |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| classified0x12d6…f2a8 | No | 16,784 | 97.7¢ | $16.4K | Positive+$3.55 per $100 · 1,961 bets |
| AlAhmeda0x9d73…216b | No | 12,906 | 95.8¢ | $12.6K | Losing−$1.99 per $100 · 4,949 bets |
| TylerTurden0x69ea…15cd | No | 11,426 | 96.1¢ | $11.2K | Proven+$4.25 per $100 · 939 bets |
| justme0030xcb89…a2e8 | No | 7,977 | 97.0¢ | $7.81K | Losing−$1.29 per $100 · 343 bets |