Market
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 17:29 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| zx999a0xf0bf…1744 | No | 20 | 99.9¢ | $20 | — |
| edzioo0x022c…2cd3 | No | 11 | 99.9¢ | $11 | — |
| smalltimezzz0x590e…e43d | Yes | 11,337 | 3.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.11 per $100 · 2,223 bets |
| LyonyaGolubkov0x8fb3…8d69 | Yes | 8,000 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Elonurmom0x0f7f…6450 | Yes | 5,405 | 3.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Bitgod0x1e1a…7690 | Yes | 5,391 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 7,275 bets |
| cool.guide0x0e70…bf72 | Yes | 2,000 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Poiuztrewq0x6df7…afb0 | Yes | 2,000 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.67 per $100 · 2,990 bets |
| sebyastiens0xbc62…4f5e | Yes | 1,998 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| LuckyMANNN0x59a1…a8d1 | Yes | 1,820 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc21e…1e36 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Kaiji1230xe5bd…339a | Yes | 1,000 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| roadto10kandthen100k0xe9ec…8756 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Roadto1Billion0x60b0…4a62 | Yes | 956 | 0.1¢ | $0 | New59 settled bets |
| MailAJ-Long-Term0xda4d…c8ee | Yes | 750 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| hetacz0x6864…294b | Yes | 700 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 8,509 bets |
| Melao0x48a3…bfec | Yes | 520 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| TP19950xc575…38fd | Yes | 500 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| oboltusovao0x4a67…65c8 | Yes | 310 | 3.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 11110x280f…1963 | Yes | 300 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 289 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,285 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 202 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| jackli0030x550f…7dad | Yes | 200 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Certifiedcracked0x0b57…eccc | Yes | 181 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| akhk12450xca60…310d | Yes | 170 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 166 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.58 per $100 · 123,998 bets |
| TheGreatBeta0xf322…ebf9 | Yes | 163 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$81.10 per $100 · 22,268 bets |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 148 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.03 per $100 · 18,899 bets |
| 0xa986…30f6 | Yes | 120 | 3.9¢ | $0 | — |
| justwant50xbc13…5578 | Yes | 100 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Mei-ji0x2924…dcde | Yes | 100 | 3.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Demet3r0x40e6…459f | Yes | 100 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Qatalyst0x65f7…86dd | Yes | 100 | 3.8¢ | $0 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 70 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 127,877 bets |
| .Menthe0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | 50 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| haraldNine0xed3f…a9e4 | Yes | 43 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 40 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| babyalgo0x0a3a…e990 | Yes | 10 | 2.1¢ | $0 | — |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$874.76 per $100 · 26,465 bets |
| bjprolo0x46b3…d3de | Yes | 10 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$503.23 per $100 · 49,800+ bets · updating |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 91 overlapping windows · 10 events · $720K in play
Exactly one of this event's 22 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.