Market · 1 of 22 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:55 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| smalltimezzz0x590e…e43d | Yes | 7,698 | 4.2¢ | $1.81K | Losing−$1.11 per $100 · 2,223 bets |
| Elonurmom0x0f7f…6450 | Yes | 5,405 | 3.9¢ | $1.27K | — |
| 0x2ef2…7f72 | Yes | 5,000 | 2.0¢ | $1.18K | — |
| sebyastiens0xbc62…4f5e | Yes | 5,000 | 2.0¢ | $1.18K | — |
| LinaBell🦊0x8eab…a56d | Yes | 4,000 | 2.0¢ | $940 | Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 4,037 bets |
| TweetPulse.Live0xbbdc…5d81 | Yes | 3,950 | 4.0¢ | $928 | — |
| LuckyMANNN0x59a1…a8d1 | Yes | 3,820 | 7.5¢ | $898 | — |
| ComradeCat0x60ec…8d4c | Yes | 2,678 | 4.3¢ | $629 | — |
| Poiuztrewq0x6df7…afb0 | Yes | 2,650 | 6.6¢ | $623 | Losing−$6.67 per $100 · 2,990 bets |
| Bitgod0x1e1a…7690 | Yes | 2,558 | 4.1¢ | $601 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 7,275 bets |
| cool.guide0x0e70…bf72 | Yes | 2,000 | 2.0¢ | $470 | — |
| bipbipbop0xc4d5…87cf | No | 559 | 88.3¢ | $428 | Break-even+$0.76 per $100 · 6,852 bets |
| hirichzhou0x71f7…2e2e | Yes | 1,502 | 4.0¢ | $353 | — |
| juanbenquet0xf41c…43a6 | Yes | 1,264 | 14.5¢ | $297 | — |
| jfefgsgsw0x0b4e…f5e1 | No | 374 | 82.7¢ | $286 | — |
| CaprioDiLeo0x2eb6…3e31 | No | 337 | 83.3¢ | $258 | — |
| Mei-ji0x2924…dcde | Yes | 1,000 | 3.9¢ | $235 | — |
| Kaiji1230xe5bd…339a | Yes | 1,000 | 2.0¢ | $235 | — |
| kakdelaa0x2747…fa5a | Yes | 769 | 13.6¢ | $181 | — |
| plymbus0xbbb3…037d | Yes | 728 | 18.7¢ | $171 | — |
| niceShare0x97ff…d095 | No | 185 | 80.0¢ | $142 | — |
| pykue0xa45f…d6cb | Yes | 594 | 18.4¢ | $140 | — |
| 0x5d52…7ae0 | Yes | 587 | 17.7¢ | $138 | — |
| gordontradedc0x04a2…e16c | No | 171 | 78.8¢ | $131 | — |
| ProsperIntelligence0x514b…6931 | Yes | 540 | 21.1¢ | $127 | — |
| Melao0x48a3…bfec | Yes | 520 | 14.0¢ | $122 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 155 | 80.4¢ | $118 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 130,881 bets |
| TP19950xc575…38fd | Yes | 500 | 4.0¢ | $118 | — |
| sfdf780x736c…a3c9 | Yes | 385 | 13.6¢ | $90 | — |
| azimutp0xc793…02a9 | Yes | 350 | 12.8¢ | $82 | — |
| Emrercer0xe7a0…f9d6 | Yes | 335 | 11.5¢ | $79 | — |
| hetacz0x6864…294b | No | 100 | 75.0¢ | $76 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 8,509 bets |
| 11110x280f…1963 | Yes | 300 | 2.0¢ | $71 | — |
| TaigerTeam0xd928…23ca | Yes | 300 | 19.3¢ | $71 | — |
| rocky420080x79dc…ca77 | Yes | 288 | 23.0¢ | $68 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 5,356 bets |
| exponentially0xa2d7…e3b7 | No | 85 | 78.4¢ | $65 | — |
| froku0x1e3b…e3ba | Yes | 238 | 25.0¢ | $56 | — |
| wakuwaku30x7db5…cf18 | Yes | 209 | 11.5¢ | $49 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 196 | 3.8¢ | $46 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,282 bets |
| petrstein0x12e6…d6cd | No | 55 | 77.9¢ | $42 | — |
| akhk12450xca60…310d | Yes | 170 | 2.0¢ | $40 | — |
| cryingbabydicer870x5e8e…8212 | No | 50 | 87.0¢ | $38 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 27,486 bets |
| 0xa986…30f6 | Yes | 159 | 21.8¢ | $37 | — |
| XXHXX0xe372…72ec | Yes | 156 | 16.4¢ | $37 | — |
| IronByte0x9484…a173 | Yes | 149 | 14.3¢ | $35 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 40 | 82.0¢ | $31 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | Yes | 128 | 3.8¢ | $30 | Positive+$1.64 per $100 · 30,002+ bets · updating |
| bbynepo0x37b6…661f | Yes | 125 | 10.5¢ | $29 | — |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 121 | 24.6¢ | $28 | Losing−$7.49 per $100 · 315,727+ bets · updating |
| 0xcd0f…2154 | No | 35 | 84.5¢ | $27 | — |
| sazzaa0x12ed…c9b4 | Yes | 113 | 22.0¢ | $27 | — |
| saragus0xf4d5…66e1 | Yes | 112 | 12.1¢ | $26 | — |
| MarsBABY0xeb6d…2294 | Yes | 110 | 15.8¢ | $26 | — |
| rockat0x699b…0296 | Yes | 110 | 15.4¢ | $26 | — |
| televisionloud0x6c1c…1ac2 | No | 33 | 76.0¢ | $25 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 1,838 bets |
| justwant50xbc13…5578 | Yes | 100 | 4.0¢ | $24 | — |
| owla0x0517…d513 | Yes | 100 | 10.0¢ | $24 | — |
| Demet3r0x40e6…459f | Yes | 100 | 2.0¢ | $24 | — |
| Qatalyst0x65f7…86dd | Yes | 100 | 3.8¢ | $24 | — |
| benjaminproject0x73b5…e8a3 | Yes | 100 | 16.0¢ | $24 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 100 | 10.8¢ | $24 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| Ronke0xb603…58fe | Yes | 93 | 24.9¢ | $22 | — |
| wendyalex0xb71a…840d | Yes | 91 | 11.5¢ | $21 | — |
| Jpinedo0x926c…7155 | No | 20 | 90.5¢ | $15 | — |
| robertmcdowell0x4731…5deb | No | 14 | 84.7¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x96e00x96e0…b648 | No | 11 | 87.0¢ | $8 | — |
| ddd333aaa0x1dc1…5f5b | No | 10 | 85.0¢ | $8 | Positive+$1.06 per $100 · 4,881 bets |
| hamid19190x3cbe…2520 | No | 7 | 77.9¢ | $5 | Proven+$2.47 per $100 · 1,204 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 17 | 21.6¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 0x60ea…d120 | No | 5 | 76.9¢ | $4 | — |
| Adam11110x72b5…8b54 | No | 5 | 86.6¢ | $4 | — |
| kor-and-m0x0b14…f1f5 | No | 4 | 88.0¢ | $3 | — |
| bechamel0xd322…8503 | No | 3 | 89.0¢ | $2 | — |
| WanderingPanda0x74ff…be5b | No | 3 | 80.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Punch0x94af…acee | No | 2 | 84.7¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xc773…2023 | No | 1 | 76.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc8d3…12d1 | No | 1 | 76.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xea58…9c76 | No | 1 | 76.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xb9be…16f2 | No | 1 | 76.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x3f4f…503a | No | 1 | 77.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xb2b1…26b7 | No | 1 | 77.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x29e3…f115 | No | 1 | 77.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x3b33…1ed7 | No | 1 | 79.8¢ | $1 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 4 | 3.8¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.59 per $100 · 123,775 bets |
| JsonStatham0x625b…22cf | No | 0 | 89.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.10 per $100 · 9,895 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 85.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| leadernew0x9c2d…1b16 | No | 0 | 83.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 90 overlapping windows · 9 events · $720K in play
Exactly one of this event's 22 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.