Market · 3 of 11 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 03:04 UTC. Not financial advice.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 90 overlapping windows · 9 events · $718K in play
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RootWoot0x4d06…b2ea | No | 3,688 | 91.2¢ | $3.13K | — |
| smalltimezzz0x590e…e43d | Yes | 10,683 | 8.4¢ | $1.61K | Losing−$1.09 per $100 · 2,218 bets |
| LazyWanker0xbac4…1ab2 | No | 1,500 | 86.5¢ | $1.27K | — |
| Mei-ji0x2924…dcde | Yes | 6,774 | 7.6¢ | $1.02K | — |
| 0x2ef2…7f72 | Yes | 6,555 | 2.0¢ | $987 | — |
| crvlo0xce26…f3e8 | Yes | 5,427 | 22.4¢ | $817 | — |
| TweetPulse.Live0xbbdc…5d81 | Yes | 5,001 | 4.0¢ | $753 | — |
| Bitgod0x1e1a…7690 | Yes | 4,779 | 4.0¢ | $719 | Positive+$1.35 per $100 · 7,262 bets |
| LinaBell🦊0x8eab…a56d | Yes | 4,000 | 2.0¢ | $602 | Break-even+$0.76 per $100 · 4,032 bets |
| Poiuztrewq0x6df7…afb0 | Yes | 3,950 | 7.1¢ | $594 | — |
| ComradeCat0x60ec…8d4c | Yes | 3,450 | 7.0¢ | $519 | — |
| trantienbg0xf9c1…da04 | No | 587 | 93.6¢ | $499 | — |
| hirichzhou0x71f7…2e2e | Yes | 3,001 | 6.4¢ | $452 | — |
| Sugarina0x8288…5519 | Yes | 3,000 | 3.8¢ | $452 | — |
| hulitest20250xe559…1300 | Yes | 2,524 | 5.5¢ | $380 | — |
| MilkTeaa0xd3ce…b432 | Yes | 2,457 | 3.6¢ | $370 | — |
| cool.guide0x0e70…bf72 | Yes | 2,016 | 3.1¢ | $303 | — |
| elonplstweets0x50a8…98ed | Yes | 1,724 | 10.7¢ | $259 | — |
| niceShare0x97ff…d095 | No | 300 | 75.0¢ | $255 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 295 | 86.1¢ | $250 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,489 bets |
| sjoerdvdmack0xe53d…146c | Yes | 1,623 | 7.4¢ | $244 | — |
| nole-ksum0x5393…966a | No | 275 | 91.4¢ | $233 | — |
| BernandoNaty0xfab3…dee0 | No | 250 | 91.1¢ | $212 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | No | 245 | 73.0¢ | $208 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 18,243 bets |
| CaprioDiLeo0x2eb6…3e31 | Yes | 1,372 | 10.3¢ | $206 | — |
| jfefgsgsw0x0b4e…f5e1 | No | 231 | 84.1¢ | $197 | — |
| yoyoyoyo-0x8fec…d9af | No | 208 | 88.1¢ | $177 | — |
| WEelz0xa783…02e7 | Yes | 1,155 | 9.0¢ | $174 | — |
| ChunkyMonky0x8f66…b986 | Yes | 1,095 | 0.3¢ | $165 | — |
| wakuwaku30x7db5…cf18 | Yes | 1,064 | 0.9¢ | $160 | — |
| bipbipbop0xc4d5…87cf | Yes | 1,050 | 10.8¢ | $158 | Break-even+$0.77 per $100 · 6,842 bets |
| ElonJail0xb831…892b | Yes | 1,025 | 3.9¢ | $154 | — |
| amy8880xc3cf…51d2 | Yes | 1,000 | 11.1¢ | $151 | — |
| edgewarehouse0x7eeb…b6bd | Yes | 963 | 8.2¢ | $145 | — |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | No | 169 | 73.1¢ | $144 | Break-even+$0.37 per $100 · 13,129 bets |
| mcsg0x4d3d…5047 | Yes | 868 | 9.1¢ | $131 | — |
| JumpLi0x45b8…2204 | Yes | 848 | 10.5¢ | $128 | — |
| OsvaldoMarianao270xf939…43e1 | Yes | 841 | 13.4¢ | $127 | — |
| Kaiji1230xe5bd…339a | Yes | 823 | 6.2¢ | $124 | — |
| Fablurou0x3256…830c | Yes | 809 | 0.2¢ | $122 | — |
| Mr-Lucker0xaee7…37fe | Yes | 800 | 12.3¢ | $120 | — |
| triple-purple0x038b…afc4 | Yes | 771 | 9.5¢ | $116 | — |
| AndreaPirlo0x09b4…e56d | No | 132 | 84.8¢ | $112 | — |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | Yes | 706 | 6.9¢ | $106 | Positive+$6.72 per $100 · 6,725 bets |
| Ecnanif0x2a79…e2af | Yes | 700 | 3.7¢ | $105 | — |
| LordYeah0xfd07…6bb7 | Yes | 591 | 13.3¢ | $89 | — |
| Tagan10x9c29…8c43 | Yes | 574 | 3.4¢ | $86 | — |
| InsideR50x17f1…0528 | Yes | 536 | 11.0¢ | $81 | — |
| jiuchuanplus0x159f…4043 | Yes | 515 | 10.2¢ | $77 | — |
| defiance-cr0xb84c…e169 | No | 88 | 92.0¢ | $75 | — |
| 212octopus0xbf8e…2f94 | Yes | 453 | 3.6¢ | $68 | — |
| cryingbabydicer870x5e8e…8212 | No | 79 | 90.9¢ | $67 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 25,840 bets |
| MayaviQ0xa14d…2563 | Yes | 435 | 10.3¢ | $65 | — |
| exponentially0xa2d7…e3b7 | No | 77 | 86.5¢ | $65 | — |
| 0x620b…9c9a | Yes | 400 | 9.0¢ | $60 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 70 | 89.9¢ | $59 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 122,985 bets |
| rockat0x699b…0296 | Yes | 375 | 10.7¢ | $56 | — |
| 123mohan0x3758…5c70 | Yes | 373 | 9.9¢ | $56 | — |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | 372 | 14.7¢ | $56 | Losing−$5.32 per $100 · 30,060+ bets · updating |
| MarsBABY0xeb6d…2294 | Yes | 372 | 10.7¢ | $56 | — |
| 0x90d7…5cb7 | Yes | 350 | 4.2¢ | $53 | — |
| polenk0x12e0…d6f8 | Yes | 343 | 10.9¢ | $52 | — |
| Jason20250x3b27…0b98 | No | 53 | 90.5¢ | $45 | — |
| Ruiziness0x306d…7a38 | Yes | 300 | 11.3¢ | $45 | — |
| jooker20260x276a…d445 | No | 50 | 87.9¢ | $42 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 50 | 88.4¢ | $42 | Losing−$8.20 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| GojoLuffy0x36f0…9d10 | No | 45 | 87.9¢ | $38 | — |
| b3t4t35t0xab18…467d | Yes | 230 | 11.0¢ | $35 | — |
| mstrmnd.0x3d50…c26b | Yes | 223 | 8.5¢ | $34 | — |
| gedx0x6a74…3952 | No | 36 | 90.4¢ | $31 | — |
| hetacz0x6864…294b | Yes | 200 | 7.7¢ | $30 | Positive+$1.08 per $100 · 8,496 bets |
| caspar12480xa278…3369 | No | 34 | 85.6¢ | $29 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 31 | 90.6¢ | $26 | Losing−$9.67 per $100 · 44,379+ bets · updating |
| bahn-cuon-baby0x5cdc…1f6b | No | 21 | 97.0¢ | $18 | — |
| 897xcx0x075e…0798 | No | 20 | 99.9¢ | $17 | — |
| derek090x4b5a…4c15 | No | 20 | 89.8¢ | $17 | — |
| 0x0a16…1cb2 | No | 19 | 85.5¢ | $16 | — |
| 0x4a0a…113a | No | 17 | 88.2¢ | $15 | — |
| swd20260xa124…6816 | No | 13 | 80.4¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x11cd…03e8 | No | 11 | 87.6¢ | $10 | — |
| pageashley0x106e…12da | No | 10 | 90.2¢ | $9 | — |
| Pikrago0x0999…dcd5 | No | 10 | 89.4¢ | $9 | — |
| gx511230x00a4…1297 | No | 10 | 99.9¢ | $8 | — |
| adsfasdf1130x0dba…2db9 | No | 10 | 82.5¢ | $8 | — |
| asdfll10x601f…bb82 | No | 10 | 82.5¢ | $8 | — |
| kk8s118es0xe39f…f224 | No | 10 | 87.3¢ | $8 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 10 | 90.7¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | No | 9 | 86.6¢ | $8 | — |
| WanderingPanda0x74ff…be5b | Yes | 53 | 11.6¢ | $8 | — |
| Sarths0x811e…265c | No | 7 | 84.8¢ | $6 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No | 6 | 85.4¢ | $5 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| pupailupa0x2a9a…10ff | No | 6 | 90.0¢ | $5 | — |
| cjie18880x628c…8692 | No | 5 | 90.3¢ | $4 | — |
| hamid19190x3cbe…2520 | No | 5 | 88.6¢ | $4 | — |
| CakeGo10x1790…2eb7 | No | 4 | 90.4¢ | $4 | — |
| rocky420060x85d5…bbf0 | Yes | 2 | 14.7¢ | $0 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 2 | 11.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
1 account bets both sides equally · 38 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.