Market · 2 of 11 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 12:49 UTC. Not financial advice.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 90 overlapping windows · 9 events · $718K in play
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| stauffen0x6d3f…a942 | No | 7,220 | 85.2¢ | $5.41K | — |
| Mei-ji0x2924…dcde | Yes | 10,131 | 8.4¢ | $2.54K | — |
| smalltimezzz0x590e…e43d | Yes | 8,525 | 10.8¢ | $2.14K | Losing−$1.11 per $100 · 2,223 bets |
| hirtunk0x9ebe…5d0b | No | 2,806 | 70.0¢ | $2.1K | — |
| 0x2ef2…7f72 | Yes | 6,555 | 2.0¢ | $1.65K | — |
| crvlo0xce26…f3e8 | Yes | 5,425 | 31.6¢ | $1.36K | — |
| TweetPulse.Live0xbbdc…5d81 | Yes | 5,001 | 4.0¢ | $1.26K | — |
| sebyastiens0xbc62…4f5e | Yes | 5,000 | 2.0¢ | $1.25K | — |
| Bitgod0x1e1a…7690 | Yes | 4,992 | 3.8¢ | $1.25K | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 7,275 bets |
| LinaBell🦊0x8eab…a56d | Yes | 4,337 | 4.5¢ | $1.09K | Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 4,037 bets |
| dddtrips0x8565…0c43 | Yes | 4,000 | 25.2¢ | $1K | — |
| Poiuztrewq0x6df7…afb0 | Yes | 3,950 | 6.6¢ | $991 | Losing−$6.67 per $100 · 2,990 bets |
| ComradeCat0x60ec…8d4c | Yes | 3,555 | 6.8¢ | $892 | — |
| RootWoot0x4d06…b2ea | No | 1,026 | 88.3¢ | $768 | — |
| hirichzhou0x71f7…2e2e | Yes | 3,054 | 6.7¢ | $767 | — |
| Sugarina0x8288…5519 | Yes | 3,000 | 3.8¢ | $753 | — |
| ProsperIntelligence0x514b…6931 | Yes | 2,641 | 11.9¢ | $663 | — |
| MilkTeaa0xd3ce…b432 | Yes | 2,457 | 3.6¢ | $617 | — |
| hulitest20250xe559…1300 | Yes | 2,450 | 4.0¢ | $615 | — |
| 0xPoni-Elon0x01a4…4967 | No | 681 | 70.5¢ | $510 | — |
| cool.guide0x0e70…bf72 | Yes | 1,980 | 2.1¢ | $497 | — |
| OsvaldoMarianao270xf939…43e1 | Yes | 1,914 | 30.8¢ | $480 | — |
| sjoerdvdmack0xe53d…146c | Yes | 1,623 | 9.9¢ | $407 | — |
| maxmaxmax10x663d…7d23 | Yes | 1,409 | 31.8¢ | $354 | Losing−$7.25 per $100 · 305 bets |
| niceShare0x97ff…d095 | No | 460 | 71.9¢ | $344 | — |
| jfefgsgsw0x0b4e…f5e1 | No | 401 | 83.1¢ | $300 | — |
| amy8880xc3cf…51d2 | Yes | 1,196 | 17.7¢ | $300 | — |
| elonplstweets0x50a8…98ed | Yes | 1,140 | 14.4¢ | $286 | — |
| ChunkyMonky0x8f66…b986 | Yes | 1,129 | 0.3¢ | $283 | — |
| hetacz0x6864…294b | No | 373 | 77.8¢ | $280 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 8,509 bets |
| ElonJail0xb831…892b | Yes | 1,056 | 0.2¢ | $265 | — |
| Mr-Lucker0xaee7…37fe | Yes | 1,000 | 23.3¢ | $251 | — |
| wakuwaku30x7db5…cf18 | Yes | 971 | 13.0¢ | $244 | — |
| ellio89890xaca2…b9a1 | Yes | 928 | 22.1¢ | $233 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | No | 310 | 72.1¢ | $232 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| triple-purple0x038b…afc4 | Yes | 922 | 18.1¢ | $231 | — |
| Sarths0x811e…265c | No | 308 | 67.1¢ | $231 | — |
| 0x4e1c…3106 | Yes | 800 | 29.2¢ | $201 | — |
| zion3030x2583…8c74 | Yes | 756 | 18.3¢ | $190 | — |
| Kaiji1230xe5bd…339a | Yes | 724 | 12.2¢ | $182 | — |
| Ecnanif0x2a79…e2af | Yes | 700 | 3.7¢ | $176 | — |
| bipbipbop0xc4d5…87cf | Yes | 649 | 26.6¢ | $163 | Break-even+$0.77 per $100 · 6,848 bets |
| bing130x708e…9bb1 | Yes | 600 | 33.9¢ | $151 | — |
| mcsg0x4d3d…5047 | Yes | 586 | 16.9¢ | $147 | — |
| yoyoyoyo-0x8fec…d9af | No | 192 | 81.2¢ | $144 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 184 | 74.5¢ | $138 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,477 bets |
| jiuchuanplus0x159f…4043 | Yes | 523 | 15.9¢ | $131 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 507 | 13.4¢ | $127 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | No | 169 | 70.5¢ | $127 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 13,173 bets |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | 491 | 29.1¢ | $123 | Losing−$9.60 per $100 · 56,831+ bets · updating |
| cryingbabydicer870x5e8e…8212 | No | 162 | 82.8¢ | $122 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 27,486 bets |
| edgewarehouse0x7eeb…b6bd | No | 160 | 71.0¢ | $120 | — |
| Bil666El0x43ad…da98 | Yes | 470 | 17.1¢ | $118 | — |
| 212octopus0xbf8e…2f94 | Yes | 453 | 50.0¢ | $114 | — |
| 0x7ee9…7d37 | Yes | 414 | 25.1¢ | $104 | — |
| rockat0x699b…0296 | Yes | 413 | 15.9¢ | $104 | — |
| LordYeah0xfd07…6bb7 | Yes | 411 | 18.2¢ | $103 | — |
| patouossa0x4262…0ef2 | Yes | 402 | 24.1¢ | $101 | — |
| MarsBABY0xeb6d…2294 | Yes | 401 | 15.8¢ | $101 | — |
| Deus1180x04eb…1ab3 | Yes | 400 | 50.0¢ | $100 | — |
| polenk0x12e0…d6f8 | Yes | 375 | 14.0¢ | $94 | — |
| MayaviQ0xa14d…2563 | Yes | 374 | 18.2¢ | $94 | — |
| 123mohan0x3758…5c70 | Yes | 373 | 33.4¢ | $94 | — |
| CaprioDiLeo0x2eb6…3e31 | Yes | 372 | 28.8¢ | $93 | — |
| 0xumbra0x9c1e…b7d3 | No | 92 | 73.3¢ | $69 | — |
| gordontradedc0x04a2…e16c | No | 91 | 68.3¢ | $68 | — |
| exponentially0xa2d7…e3b7 | No | 87 | 80.7¢ | $65 | — |
| josediaz0xe396…dce1 | No | 87 | 66.4¢ | $65 | — |
| liq20x3423…fe57 | No | 75 | 78.1¢ | $56 | — |
| goodman-10xb575…87ec | No | 70 | 72.7¢ | $52 | — |
| browndust0x13de…fd91 | No | 64 | 82.4¢ | $48 | — |
| eyesuck0x2673…5ac9 | No | 50 | 68.6¢ | $38 | — |
| 0x0a16…1cb2 | No | 50 | 72.2¢ | $37 | — |
| radeksaturka0xa98c…5173 | No | 50 | 75.6¢ | $37 | — |
| 0xafaa…3bb4 | No | 41 | 69.8¢ | $30 | — |
| loveelonmusk0x5545…3059 | No | 38 | 86.6¢ | $29 | — |
| croccoanddolphin0x666a…68bd | No | 35 | 64.6¢ | $26 | — |
| mitchellkatrina0x97cf…d5b2 | No | 35 | 82.6¢ | $26 | — |
| Leclerc040x38cf…d885 | No | 30 | 81.6¢ | $22 | Losing−$4.36 per $100 · 1,449 bets |
| 0x5285…1cc5 | No | 30 | 66.0¢ | $22 | — |
| GojoLuffy0x36f0…9d10 | No | 30 | 68.6¢ | $22 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 29 | 66.0¢ | $22 | Losing−$2.63 per $100 · 123,481+ bets · updating |
| bahn-cuon-baby0x5cdc…1f6b | No | 21 | 97.1¢ | $15 | — |
| saragus0xf4d5…66e1 | No | 20 | 67.0¢ | $15 | — |
| 0xc883…4ea1 | No | 19 | 78.4¢ | $14 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 17 | 70.3¢ | $13 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,736 bets |
| 0x9c21…a807 | No | 15 | 73.9¢ | $12 | — |
| jkerkela0xde18…7ca8 | No | 15 | 62.3¢ | $11 | — |
| sandw0x00cd…9e15 | No | 14 | 74.0¢ | $10 | — |
| swd20260xa124…6816 | No | 13 | 80.4¢ | $10 | — |
| Staticglasshouse0x6580…96e5 | No | 13 | 79.7¢ | $9 | — |
| etghzcer0x7b89…ddae | No | 12 | 69.6¢ | $9 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 11 | 78.8¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| DontBeScared50xdf3b…880a | No | 10 | 76.0¢ | $8 | — |
| adsfasdf1130x0dba…2db9 | No | 10 | 86.1¢ | $7 | Break-even+$0.12 per $100 · 7,608 bets |
| sdfasfddd0x4cd4…8a5c | No | 10 | 74.0¢ | $7 | Break-even+$0.12 per $100 · 29,022 bets |
| weepingangel890x5bc1…9932 | No | 10 | 76.9¢ | $7 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 82 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.