Market · 12 of 19 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets in October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 03:28 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 170 | 99.4¢ | $170 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| mktestmm0x5904…940f | No | 18 | 99.7¢ | $18 | — |
| wert40x46f7…ded2 | No | 5 | 99.6¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 8,515 bets |
| hetacz0x6864…294b | Yes | 3,081 | 1.9¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.03 per $100 · 8,527 bets |
| 0x4e72…ffb9 | No | 1 | 99.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$7.68 per $100 · 28,611+ bets · updating |
| sange1110x87a9…4bdf | Yes | 1,518 | 0.4¢ | $1 | — |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | Yes | 671 | 1.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,245 bets |
| 83afaf0x7b38…b187 | Yes | 520 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 88dfhf0xeed8…679c | Yes | 499 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| mcsg0x4d3d…5047 | Yes | 485 | 0.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Bitgod0x1e1a…7690 | Yes | 456 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.34 per $100 · 7,296 bets |
| OsvaldoMarianao270xf939…43e1 | Yes | 261 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 250 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.92 per $100 · 160,136 bets |
| Etherapp0x9fac…3e5a | Yes | 223 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 190 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.69 per $100 · 128,627 bets |
| 0xb35a…c452 | Yes | 173 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 150 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$57.66 per $100 · 63,695+ bets · updating |
| vamnizar0xaf46…8c1d | Yes | 96 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| babyalgo0x0a3a…e990 | Yes | 50 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | 40 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.75 per $100 · 67,936+ bets · updating |
| godblessme20260x7dcf…a7bd | Yes | 40 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| justwant50xbc13…5578 | Yes | 40 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9495…468f | Yes | 40 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$4.14 per $100 · 12,955 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 35 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.53 per $100 · 125,476+ bets · updating |
| graynotebook190xcfff…673d | Yes | 30 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xfbd8…4027 | Yes | 22 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.06 per $100 · 87,025+ bets · updating |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 20 | 0.6¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 10 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 102,794 bets |
| Fluo0x2b34…b202 | Yes | 10 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x2ff6…fd27 | Yes | 10 | 1.5¢ | $0 | — |
| quietparcel0x764b…6bad | Yes | 10 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.68 per $100 · 41,055+ bets · updating |
| haouibao0xa499…2a2b | Yes | 10 | 1.2¢ | $0 | — |
| mel270x6afe…f266 | Yes | 9 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9daa…9904 | Yes | 5 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| YouSnostYouLost0xac37…1111 | Yes | 5 | 2.7¢ | $0 | — |
| iheredia0x926c…5234 | Yes | 5 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| VictorLudorum0x090a…0fa6 | Yes | 3 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.49 per $100 · 22,345 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $1.03M in play
Exactly one of this event's 19 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.