Market · 25 of 26 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 21:36 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| hetacz0x6864…294b | No | 120 | 99.2¢ | $120 | Positive+$1.03 per $100 · 8,527 bets |
| L82880x0b5c…3748 | No | 50 | 99.0¢ | $50 | — |
| vtfg0x0330…ec43 | No | 42 | 99.9¢ | $42 | — |
| nilgf0x895c…5f44 | No | 23 | 99.9¢ | $23 | — |
| z94a90x3099…cd58 | No | 20 | 99.9¢ | $20 | — |
| rrqqzq0x9bb2…21cb | No | 20 | 97.4¢ | $20 | — |
| lpjuf0xdd6a…0ffd | No | 15 | 99.9¢ | $15 | — |
| sebyastiens0xbc62…4f5e | Yes | 1,000 | 2.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Jwalksitout0x6bd4…8341 | Yes | 200 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$81.55 per $100 · 22,315 bets |
| oboltusovao0x4a67…65c8 | Yes | 100 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xb0e7…39d2 | Yes | 83 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.62 per $100 · 23,795 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 20 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.69 per $100 · 128,542 bets |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | Yes | 10 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.64 per $100 · 30,002+ bets · updating |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$875.31 per $100 · 26,627 bets |
| bjprolo0x46b3…d3de | Yes | 10 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$513.99 per $100 · 51,400 bets |
| 0x9bc0…71b6 | Yes | 10 | 4.5¢ | $0 | — |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 4 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.91 per $100 · 159,919 bets |
| aHjCz0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | 3 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.88 per $100 · 57,792+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $896K in play
Exactly one of this event's 26 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.