Market · 5 of 26 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 03:40 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitgod0x1e1a…7690 | No | 529 | 86.6¢ | $479 | Positive+$1.34 per $100 · 7,296 bets |
| sebyastiens0xbc62…4f5e | Yes | 1,000 | 2.0¢ | $95 | — |
| jooker20260x276a…d445 | No | 100 | 86.6¢ | $91 | — |
| hetacz0x6864…294b | No | 100 | 84.7¢ | $91 | Positive+$1.03 per $100 · 8,527 bets |
| Threepeeo0x13d8…06c4 | Yes | 760 | 14.0¢ | $72 | — |
| CaprioDiLeo0x2eb6…3e31 | No | 71 | 91.3¢ | $65 | — |
| oboltusovao0x4a67…65c8 | Yes | 100 | 4.0¢ | $10 | — |
| ElonJail0xb831…892b | Yes | 87 | 7.3¢ | $8 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 45 | 15.0¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| Certifiedcracked0x0b57…eccc | Yes | 28 | 7.3¢ | $3 | — |
| javivisan0xa6b6…402e | Yes | 26 | 12.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | Yes | 20 | 16.0¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 29,966+ bets · updating |
| Kot.ua0x770a…0eca | Yes | 20 | 15.6¢ | $2 | — |
| Uncle07330x13d3…1c8f | Yes | 19 | 16.7¢ | $2 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 13 | 5.5¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | Yes | 10 | 3.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.64 per $100 · 30,002+ bets · updating |
| Etherapp0x9fac…3e5a | Yes | 7 | 15.6¢ | $1 | — |
| zxcursed1210x945a…a48c | Yes | 3 | 15.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.01 per $100 · 106,178+ bets · updating |
| Morarin0xc49c…71f1 | Yes | 1 | 15.0¢ | $0 | — |
| kor-and-m0x0b14…f1f5 | Yes | 0 | 7.3¢ | $0 | — |
| JsonStatham0x625b…22cf | Yes | 0 | 15.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.10 per $100 · 10,287 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $1.03M in play
Exactly one of this event's 26 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.