Market · 5 of 10 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 19:28 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| amy8880xc3cf…51d2 | No | 100 | 96.5¢ | $95 | — |
| zion3030x2583…8c74 | Yes | 226 | 4.6¢ | $11 | — |
| ChansonBalladee0xe129…c478 | No | 11 | 96.0¢ | $10 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 190 | 0.6¢ | $9 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| oboltusovao0x4a67…65c8 | Yes | 110 | 11.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Demet3r0x40e6…459f | Yes | 100 | 5.6¢ | $5 | — |
| WanderingPanda0x74ff…be5b | Yes | 32 | 2.0¢ | $2 | — |
| CaprioDiLeo0x2eb6…3e31 | Yes | 28 | 2.3¢ | $1 | — |
| whereismymoney0x6d6b…0420 | Yes | 20 | 10.8¢ | $1 | — |
| bjprolo0x46b3…d3de | Yes | 10 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$513.99 per $100 · 51,400 bets |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | 1 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.75 per $100 · 67,936+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $896K in play
Exactly one of this event's 10 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.