Market · 6 of 26 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 14:03 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| sebyastiens0xbc62…4f5e | Yes | 1,500 | 2.0¢ | $113 | — |
| TweetPulse.Live0xbbdc…5d81 | Yes | 1,471 | 4.0¢ | $110 | — |
| smalltimezzz0x590e…e43d | Yes | 978 | 4.1¢ | $73 | Losing−$1.11 per $100 · 2,223 bets |
| poposd0xf512…0985 | Yes | 359 | 8.2¢ | $27 | — |
| Bitgod0x1e1a…7690 | Yes | 316 | 3.8¢ | $24 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 7,275 bets |
| ComradeCat0x60ec…8d4c | Yes | 314 | 3.8¢ | $24 | — |
| Blueynbingo0x52aa…42a2 | No | 22 | 93.3¢ | $20 | — |
| justwant50xbc13…5578 | Yes | 200 | 3.0¢ | $15 | — |
| oboltusovao0x4a67…65c8 | Yes | 100 | 4.0¢ | $8 | — |
| Majas0x4959…a6f5 | Yes | 87 | 9.0¢ | $7 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 22,612 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 42 | 3.8¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| WanderingPanda0x74ff…be5b | Yes | 37 | 9.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | No | 3 | 92.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| LuckyMANNN0x59a1…a8d1 | Yes | 22 | 7.0¢ | $2 | — |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | Yes | 21 | 3.8¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.64 per $100 · 30,002+ bets · updating |
| Certifiedcracked0x0b57…eccc | Yes | 13 | 8.4¢ | $1 | — |
| AnaM0x45a1…d54a | Yes | 13 | 8.4¢ | $1 | — |
| JsonStatham0x625b…22cf | No | 1 | 92.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.10 per $100 · 9,895 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 90 overlapping windows · 9 events · $718K in play
Exactly one of this event's 26 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.