Market · 4 of 9 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 21:35 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| icariam060x9592…a8fd | No | 400 | 98.2¢ | $399 | — |
| 0x913f…c676 | No | 259 | 98.7¢ | $258 | — |
| yyyyy111110x74bc…5b08 | No | 227 | 95.0¢ | $227 | — |
| bipbipbop0xc4d5…87cf | No | 219 | 98.5¢ | $218 | Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 6,876 bets |
| captainzhang0xc8f0…835c | No | 206 | 97.3¢ | $205 | — |
| black45620x9242…a140 | No | 201 | 96.2¢ | $200 | — |
| lannnn0x1bbe…f8b0 | No | 190 | 98.2¢ | $190 | Break-even−$0.39 per $100 · 1,110 bets |
| Eucadet0xbd6e…b651 | No | 154 | 97.6¢ | $153 | — |
| LeJoeBot0xd677…1cfd | No | 85 | 99.0¢ | $85 | — |
| howi-10x1de4…070a | No | 85 | 98.8¢ | $85 | — |
| Jason20250x3b27…0b98 | No | 76 | 94.9¢ | $76 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 73 | 96.6¢ | $73 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 72 | 95.2¢ | $72 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 195,629 bets |
| str-10000xf1de…6329 | No | 31 | 97.4¢ | $31 | — |
| BernandoNaty0xfab3…dee0 | No | 25 | 92.8¢ | $25 | — |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | No | 18 | 99.7¢ | $18 | Positive+$3.91 per $100 · 159,919 bets |
| dafa160xb552…1064 | No | 12 | 97.0¢ | $12 | — |
| ChansonBalladee0xe129…c478 | No | 11 | 96.0¢ | $11 | — |
| 0xe1cf…72d4 | No | 11 | 99.3¢ | $11 | — |
| Kaiji1230xe5bd…339a | Yes | 3,110 | 5.4¢ | $11 | — |
| Sugarina0x8288…5519 | Yes | 3,000 | 5.6¢ | $11 | — |
| exponentially0xa2d7…e3b7 | No | 10 | 91.4¢ | $10 | — |
| Mei-ji0x2924…dcde | Yes | 2,740 | 11.9¢ | $10 | Break-even+$0.57 per $100 · 3,268 bets |
| RickRockRick0x35f3…cfd0 | Yes | 2,396 | 5.4¢ | $8 | — |
| 0xca0c…b9b6 | No | 5 | 99.0¢ | $5 | — |
| skold0r0xe089…ad3a | Yes | 1,321 | 2.1¢ | $5 | — |
| amy8880xc3cf…51d2 | Yes | 1,100 | 1.8¢ | $4 | — |
| yangleduoduo0xe243…af59 | Yes | 1,000 | 1.0¢ | $3 | — |
| sshcry0x986d…b351 | Yes | 1,000 | 3.6¢ | $3 | — |
| broitsravi0x7413…4b09 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.7¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xa169…1b73 | No | 3 | 95.6¢ | $3 | — |
| exp7incher0x29b5…a992 | Yes | 700 | 6.3¢ | $2 | — |
| WanderingPanda0x74ff…be5b | Yes | 697 | 3.0¢ | $2 | — |
| InsideR50x17f1…0528 | Yes | 592 | 0.5¢ | $2 | — |
| google0030x8fc2…78bb | No | 2 | 96.9¢ | $2 | — |
| stompychan0x79cb…331e | Yes | 549 | 0.6¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.24 per $100 · 40,099 bets |
| elonplstweets0x50a8…98ed | Yes | 502 | 6.7¢ | $2 | — |
| Mommy0070xdc36…8542 | Yes | 481 | 2.0¢ | $2 | — |
| gordontradedc0x04a2…e16c | Yes | 438 | 2.1¢ | $2 | — |
| IamUnderTheWater0xc928…3493 | Yes | 402 | 12.4¢ | $1 | — |
| MartinPNZ0xe130…4006 | Yes | 354 | 2.1¢ | $1 | — |
| ElonSimp0xfbcb…bb5d | Yes | 263 | 4.8¢ | $1 | — |
| bbynepo0x37b6…661f | Yes | 245 | 2.1¢ | $1 | — |
| PINKLODA130x5142…2c7d | Yes | 234 | 1.3¢ | $1 | — |
| rocky420110xe1f1…3a05 | Yes | 229 | 5.6¢ | $1 | — |
| SupremeGambler0xf2bf…66c7 | Yes | 210 | 12.5¢ | $1 | — |
| Romeo0050x146d…17c7 | Yes | 200 | 2.3¢ | $1 | — |
| oboltusovao0x4a67…65c8 | Yes | 162 | 11.1¢ | $1 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | Yes | 153 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.96 per $100 · 93,070 bets |
| JoyL0x0862…9a02 | Yes | 150 | 3.2¢ | $1 | — |
| CaprioDiLeo0x2eb6…3e31 | Yes | 149 | 1.9¢ | $1 | — |
| reefv0x8d2c…465d | Yes | 131 | 1.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf825…2e2b | Yes | 121 | 1.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Brotherinchrist0x6be9…3493 | Yes | 115 | 1.4¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 2,943 bets |
| hoomanlover0xd661…0d4e | Yes | 112 | 3.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Oboltusova0xfb2b…cadf | Yes | 110 | 1.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x482f…53f7 | Yes | 100 | 5.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa123…3fd6 | Yes | 100 | 5.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Demet3r0x40e6…459f | Yes | 100 | 5.6¢ | $0 | — |
| jargon06060xf61f…1cf3 | Yes | 83 | 1.9¢ | $0 | — |
| IgorBgd0xd5dc…17d8 | Yes | 78 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 7kent7770xdf8b…481e | Yes | 75 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | Yes | 67 | 1.6¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 29,966+ bets · updating |
| 0x43cb…84df | Yes | 66 | 6.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.94 per $100 · 30,388 bets |
| Etherapp0x9fac…3e5a | Yes | 63 | 1.7¢ | $0 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 54 | 11.4¢ | $0 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 0 | 99.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.69 per $100 · 128,542 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 30 | 3.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.52 per $100 · 88,243+ bets · updating |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 7.4¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 21 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 125,218+ bets · updating |
| whereismymoney0x6d6b…0420 | Yes | 20 | 11.0¢ | $0 | — |
| edgewarehouse0x7eeb…b6bd | Yes | 13 | 3.9¢ | $0 | — |
| zeitfi-vault-v20x6ae0…b747 | Yes | 10 | 5.8¢ | $0 | — |
| asdfsadfddd0x0be6…caa6 | Yes | 10 | 4.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.46 per $100 · 8,012 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 10 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $896K in play
Exactly one of this event's 9 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.