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Topic · Crypto
528 markets that all win or lose on the same real-world result.
Money in play
0.1% of Polymarket
Events · markets
413 · 528
that win or lose together
Proven traders lean
1 of the 10 biggest bettors
Biggest event ends
Oct 12
in 1 day
| Event | Leading outcome | Chance | This week | Money in play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin above ___ on October 12? | 78,000 | 100.0¢ | – | $0.38M |
| Bitcoin price on October 12? |
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 07:01 UTC. Chances are the market's view, not ours. Not financial advice.
| 84,000-86,000 |
| 58.0¢ |
| – |
| $40.4K |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 12? | Up | 71.0¢ | – | $11.2K |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET | Down | 64.5¢ | – | $5.2K |
| Bitcoin above ___ on October 12, 3AM ET? | 82,200 | 99.5¢ | – | $159 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET | Down | 50.5¢ | – | $33 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | Up | 50.5¢ | – | $14 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET | Up | 50.5¢ | – | $10 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | Up | 50.5¢ | – | $7 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | Up | 50.5¢ | – | $7 |
Yes minus No · across the 7 main markets
| Trader | Their view | Money on it | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x06dc…4524 | No on 86,000 · Bitcoin above ___ on October 12 | $81.5K | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 24,428 bets |
| shabbysalta0xf67e…a55c | No on 92,000 · Bitcoin above ___ on October 12 | $30.0K | Break-even−$0.09 per $100 · 929 bets |
| 0xb6fe…7394 | 78,000 · Bitcoin above ___ on October 12 | $21.3K | Break-even+$0.65 per $100 · 8,915 bets |
| FXC0x2d88…d5e8 | 76,000 · Bitcoin above ___ on October 12 | $9.3K | Break-even−$0.29 per $100 · 1,534 bets |
| PmDerek0xdea2…a81e | 78,000 · Bitcoin above ___ on October 12 | $8.1K | Break-even−$0.03 per $100 · 1,468 bets |
| gobblewobble0x0fe4…01b7 | 82,000 · Bitcoin above ___ on October 12 | $8.1K | Break-even+$0.79 per $100 · 3,986 bets |
| coinman20x55be…dca3 | No on 86,000 · Bitcoin above ___ on October 12 | $8.0K | Proven+$3.40 per $100 · 6,736 bets |
| 0xDB50xdb5a…3965 | No on 88,000 · Bitcoin above ___ on October 12 | $7.9K | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 20,706 bets |
| Facaie0xf70e…81df | 78,000 · Bitcoin above ___ on October 12 | $7.0K | Break-even−$0.45 per $100 · 2,104 bets |
| Chepaik0x1dd1…6b09 | No on 92,000 · Bitcoin above ___ on October 12 | $6.7K | – |
From the 20 biggest holders of each main market. Traders with money on both sides count only the difference.